January 28, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo Them Down | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abadon | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stemwinder | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Centre Circle | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curly Esa | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Wind | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asphalt Andy | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wipe the Slate | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bronn | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pelican Way | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel War | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Active Account | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cayton Kid | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Medusa’s Gaze | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dorita’s Happy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glory of Chrome | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Pamela | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sideways Suances | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen of Love | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Dream | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Priano | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherubic Factor | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Explosive | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swiss Swoo (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alexander’s Dream | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Algeria (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Hot On the Trail | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz a Master | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | It’s a Riddle | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Busy Paynter | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elgofranco | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bella Renella | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Discrete Stevie B | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Showit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cordiality | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sensible Cat | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit of Bermuda (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Heat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Address (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shore Break (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Fia | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Proverb | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Wind | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C Falls | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Signofthecross | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zimba Warrior | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Unit | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heartfullofstars | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gray Magician | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet California | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Youte | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mix and Match | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swanning | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Feline | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Increase Stakes | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Copper Bo Ten | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Bit Sassy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.