January 17, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tigerhon (FR) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Del Oro | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Reflection | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Stand Taller | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Newpark (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Treat (GB) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Snappy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wild Arch | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scream and Shout | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Season to Remember | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Trails | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tippy Top | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Acoustic Shadow | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Witch Moon | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Macarena | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Floral Essence | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Journey | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Grace | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dutch Bus | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Well | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocketcent | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Careless Kitten | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verragio | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Boss Harty | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tom Bombadil | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Buzz of New York (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soaring Sky (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fearless Girl (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cider Apple (GB) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Hearted | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Closing Remarks | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Quest | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sommer Daisy (FR) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Black Storm | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storminside | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Chewbacca | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Satanta | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No More Fireball | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Vision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Astra S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Neige Blanche (FR) | 0.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disappearing Act | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reiwa | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scherzo (GB) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frose | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unbroken Star | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buttered Noodles | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tembo | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going With Style | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Buzz | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sly | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Nice Ice | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Gone | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trickle In | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bye Bye Bertie | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kleen Karma | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Over Attracted | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A New Peace | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zabava | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Gold Included | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.