January 14, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bistraya | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Powered | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dealin’ Stelen | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buxterhooter | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epic (ARG) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Invasors Wind | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chaosmos | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hoodoo Brown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Totally Grace | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Crown | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsnotmyjob | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Suckerforagrey | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Roaring Quinn | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Mallory | 1.60 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Bind On Earth | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Summertime Bandit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Grillin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Palante | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Bird | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pajeaux’s Cat | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Indiscreet | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sadie’s Light | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brimestone Kid | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justa Buster | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saint Kennedy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fashion Moon | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Firstslate | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aiken to Be | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Seventeen | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mess | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Smiles | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Afleet Okie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Nate’s Revenge | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Spin Town | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Orphan Creek | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Dreamer’s Delight | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Luck of the Stars | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | As Thunder Heart | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Cabro Toro | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint A. J. | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oh My Oh | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brew Casa | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moorac | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Rad | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Friendly and Kind | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C C’s Baby Girl | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Big Money | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dial Em In | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Tizway | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gimmeasound | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diablo Cat | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beauty Boy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Curlin | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pioneer Pride | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Can | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Special Star | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Band’s Luck | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | End Zone | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Call | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Revolt | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Such | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poppi Is Smiling | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Crush | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | October Surprise | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Rogue | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turn On the Magic | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Just a Win | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mackenzie’s Halo | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Untamed Money | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blameitonthejock | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Danta | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grace’s Vision | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Smoochie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Allofourdreams | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Julio Choice | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.