Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 14, 2022

January 14, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bistraya 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 High Powered 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dealin’ Stelen 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Buxterhooter 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Epic (ARG) 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Invasors Wind 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Chaosmos 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Hoodoo Brown 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Totally Grace 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Rose Crown 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Itsnotmyjob 3.00 3.3 6-1
1A 9 Suckerforagrey 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Roaring Quinn 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Wild Mallory 1.60 7.5 14-1
1 3 Bind On Earth 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Summertime Bandit 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Grillin 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Palante 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 It’s a Bird 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Pajeaux’s Cat 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Just Indiscreet 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Sadie’s Light 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Brimestone Kid 10.00 7 13-1
5 5 Justa Buster 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Saint Kennedy 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Fashion Moon 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Firstslate 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Aiken to Be 1.80 4.5 9-1
7 7 She’s Seventeen 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Miss Mess 3.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Golden Smiles 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Afleet Okie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Nate’s Revenge 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 6 Spin Town 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 7 Orphan Creek 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 8 Dreamer’s Delight 2.50 4.5 9-1
1A 4 Luck of the Stars 3.50 5.8 11-1
1 2 As Thunder Heart 3.50 5.9 11-1
4 5 Cabro Toro 10.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Saint A. J. 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Oh My Oh 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Brew Casa 3.00 3 6-1
8 8 Moorac 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Lady Rad 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Friendly and Kind 2.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 C C’s Baby Girl 5.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Flat Out Big Money 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Dial Em In 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Hurricane Tizway 20.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gimmeasound 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Diablo Cat 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Beauty Boy 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mr. Curlin 15.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Pioneer Pride 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Little Can 3.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 I’m a Special Star 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Big Band’s Luck 15.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 End Zone 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 My Call 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Midnight Revolt 3.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Such 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Poppi Is Smiling 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Ice Crush 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 October Surprise 5.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 War Rogue 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Turn On the Magic 8.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Just a Win 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mackenzie’s Halo 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Untamed Money 10.00 8 15-1
3 3 Blameitonthejock 20.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 La Danta 15.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Grace’s Vision 20.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Ellie’s a Wildcat 6.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 La Smoochie 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Allofourdreams 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Julio Choice 2.50 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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