Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 14, 2022

January 14, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lordhearmyprayer 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Becauseofthebrave 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 S Oh S 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Dario’s Angel 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Bad Breth 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Frosted Wild Ride 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 London Gold 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alcools 1.40 2.4 5-1
1 1 Mount Travers 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Easy Shot 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Somebody 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Banyan Breeze 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Just Right 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Competitive Saint 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Oh Mrs. Maisel 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Masabeeh 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Early Glow 10.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Into Happiness 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Miss Invincible 30.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Khuluq 0.80 4.8 9-1
4 4 Tarot Card 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Starship Reina 15.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Gentle Annie 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Starship Goddess 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Shadolamo 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Cover Photo 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Cartwheel 1.20 5.1 10-1
9 8 Amos 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Paddy’s Princess 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Peaches and Spice 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Tapizearance 12.00 3.5 7-1
1A 7 Deep Cover 1.00 3.6 7-1
1 4 Storm Shooter 1.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Lookin for Trouble 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Forty Comets 4.50 4.5 8-1
8 9 Reggae Music Man 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Our Man Mike 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 8 Papa Smooth 8.00 7.5 14-1
2 1 Taco Bean 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lindros 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Scherzando 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 B C Glory Days 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 The Cobbler 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Brew Pub 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Feathers Road 3.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Street Culture 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My Man Matty 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Musical America 8.00 1 2-1
8 9 Two Thirty Five 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 7 Hammerin Aamer 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Mexican Wonder Boy 3.00 4.2 8-1
9 10 Money Ride 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 8 Striking Speed 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 2 Hieroglyphics 15.00 6.2 12-1
1A 6 Mo Gotcha 15.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Lost in Rome 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Pioneer Spirit 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Seven Lilies 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Prince of Pharoahs 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 No Salt 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Anything Pazible 30.00 4.1 8-1
2 7 Bad Guy 1.80 5 9-1
2B 10 Yankee Division 1.80 5.5 10-1
5 4 Vintage Hollywood 12.00 6 11-1
8 9 Water’s Edge 4.00 6.1 12-1
1A 8 Jemography 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Blewitt 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Unbridled’s Reign 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Endless Crusade 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Half Birthday 6.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Tap the Heart 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Boom Roasted 10.00 4.1 8-1
14 14 Lost Anchor 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Eudaimonia 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Rock Lobster 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Strong Alpha 15.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Sweetie Pie 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Pals Ally 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Keen Dancer 30.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Midmon 15.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 The Honorable Ruth 4.50 11.4 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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