Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 13, 2022

January 13, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Scrappy 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Hushed Court Room 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Absolutely Mindy 20.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Sweet Jackieleigh 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Reckless Sergeant 2.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Crafty Princess 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Sayanotherprayer 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Super Et 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vision Board 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Cause to Cruise 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Lola Flo 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Costello’s Kitten 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Rithmicallea 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Watsons Bay 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Silent Tap 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Exclaim 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Desoto’s War 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Plemmonston 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Familiar Ways 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Flashy Richie 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Mists of Time 0.80 3.8 7-1
4 4 Formal Order 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Runner 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gut Feeling 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Silver Nuggets 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Iberville 2.50 4 8-1
1 1 William’s Cause 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Rule the Empire 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Uninvited Guest 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Fightville 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Masquerade Ball 10.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Cryptic Code 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Gunfighter 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Love Ran Red 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mishpachah 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 My Friend Mr. Jim 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Medley 1.60 2.8 5-1
6 6 Dreaming of Neany 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Averi Ever After 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 No Slo Mo 12.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Hot Stove League 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Courageously 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Future Perfect 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ready to Roll 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Fed Money 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Long and Strong 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Filippo 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Wine to Roses 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Ultimate Irony 4.50 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Supremacy 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 3 Super Comet 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Snow House 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 4 Santa Cruiser 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 1 Starburst 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Shackleford Strong 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ioya Again 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Pine Knoll 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Gentle Soul 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Silver N Lai 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Attorney Tim 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Forever Mo 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Big Agenda 3.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Fenwick Station 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 The Last Zip 4.50 7.3 14-1
1 1 Haleys Sailor 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Warrior in Chief 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Aim Is True 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Ice Maiden 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Chardonnay 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bird Empress 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Gun Slingin 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Prima Ballerina 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Bombarra Gold 6.00 4.8 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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