Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, January 11, 2022

January 11, 2022 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Longtail 1.80 2.2 4-1
6 6 Commissioner Dave 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Lawlessness 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Greyzer 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Eye of Gunfighter 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Wick 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 One Two Kid 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 This Ill Defend 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 The Big Grey 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Cant Stop This Man 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Excursion 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Rack Gin 5.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Don’t Recall 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Maine 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Passage of Lines 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wonder City 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Bellamy’spartygirl 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Allegretto 3.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Speightster’s Gold 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Just a Dream 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Pasatime 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Oui Madame 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Sharon’s Law 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Shes Euphoric 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bavaria 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Admiral Eastwood 4.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mountain Tree 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Grandfire 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Elite Mission 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Green Growth 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 American River (VEN) 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Stopit 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Chub On Da Run 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Twirling Wind 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Determined Love 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Anginetti 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Cardi G 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Polo Player 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Melodious Singer 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Zecha 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Misty Mauve 1.20 2.5 5-1
6 6 Frieder Fanatic 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Reid’s Fangirl 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Paper Mansion 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Eighty Eight Keys 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Dune Jumper 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Argentina Girl 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Poor No More 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Factor This In 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Exit Right 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sacramento Q 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 The Robert 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Noon Time Gem 4.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Ahsad 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Kings Highway 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Arrivederci 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Loverboy Lou 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 American Unity 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Pategory One 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Brilliant Chase 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Alfatei 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Jw’strickymischief 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Ego Man 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Breithorn 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Olympic Romp 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Fast Bob 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Ronin Warrior 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Shooger Ray Too 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Maybe After Later 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Commissioner G 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Nimble Beast 5.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Starship Gotham 5.00 4 7-1
3 3 Kodapendent 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Late to the Show 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Stella’s Tour 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 He Runs the Line 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Will Take Control 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Tequilamademedoit 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 O’Brien 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Factum Love Style 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Nicky Da Fox 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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