January 10, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Vicious Velma | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Judy’s Design | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Surrey | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Supertaleofhoudini | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Face Card Contessa | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hero’s Daughter | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Livy B | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crusader Express | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gallant Star | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom Kat | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Von Dom | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Jenny’s Halo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blazing Fire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | I’m Always Late | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Shar’s Treasure | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Time Gem | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Mr. Quality | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Color Fast | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shippingport | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vincitore | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Vision of Angels | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Briar Jumper | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tio Blas | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ready Redding | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Firemaker | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Zarb | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Semi Charmed Life | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfecture | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chambliss | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Guitar | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Burninhunkoflove | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Corrente de Ouro | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Harmon Killer Brew | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Levee Proud | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Baltic Fleet | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Man | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Twentyone N Change | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cold Hearted Wench | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Total Malice | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J Z’s First | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Veilazig | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Renee | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nofansinthestands | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Maybe | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Takafumi (BRZ) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shake Some Action | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Order for Porky | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Danville | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Bariley | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zanesville | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Sign | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mishko | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Coach Hudson | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scary Larry | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coal Town Road | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steely Danza | 1.60 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oxbow Wind | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Youkillinmecat | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Mic Tiesun | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Charlie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.