Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 7, 2022

January 7, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ibegtodiffer 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Blue Ridge Heat 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 She’s a Fair Catch 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Midnight Trip 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 My Girl Em 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Gilded Apple 4.50 6.1 12-1
6 6 Quick Heat 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Upham 20.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Convict Pike 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Tiz Light the Way 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Redoux 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 The Green Mo’ster 4.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Mayberry Saloon 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Mangelsen 2.50 6.5 12-1
1 3 Guitar Slim 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 1 Freedom Factor 3.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 Dictator 12.00 7.5 14-1
1A 12 Foolish Steve 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lighthawk 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 C F Johnathan 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Da Gold Room 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Canihaveitlikethat 1.60 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mister Strange 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Freightrainfreeman 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Tune My Guitar 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 My Little Flaco 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Scat Shack 15.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Unorthodox 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Cool Runnings 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Cartier Cat 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Flying Fred 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 War Light 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Hero Dragon 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Achilles 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Irish Hokie 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Cove Blue 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Frolic More 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Richiesgotswagger 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Picknngrinn 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lafitte’s Fleet 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Dinar 4.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Henning 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Tin Delay 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Unrestricted 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Secret Vista 10.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Datswhatilike 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 Run Rocket 3.50 7 13-1
9 9 Gracida 20.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 I’m d’Cat 5.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Louisiana Moon 12.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Cabo’s Rumor 15.00 9 17-1
1A 12 Deer Crossing 10.00 SCRATCH
12 13 Luckenbacher 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Custom Bobby’s 4.50 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Distorted Verve 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Misty Veil 1.40 1.9 4-1
5 5 Saintsation 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Miss Tulsa 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Angel of Verdun 3.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sweet Blindness 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Offspring 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Net a Bear 1.60 4 7-1
4 4 Money Well Spent 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Winning Romance 3.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Blessed Anna 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Dance Away 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Alliaceous 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Air Guitar Star 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 She’s Gone d’Wild 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Special Connection 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stella Link 4.50 2 4-1
9 8 Anslie’s Gumdrop 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 La Lola 30.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Miss Laughalot 10.00 6 11-1
6 5 Creole Baby 5.00 6.1 11-1
4 3 Julia’s Chance 30.00 6.7 13-1
12 10 Looking Hot 2.50 6.9 13-1
5 4 Jig Time Bandit 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 9 Tugboat 20.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Savannah’s Here 15.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Allen’s Judy 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sweet Jackieleigh 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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