December 31, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Distractedprincess | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Map to My Heart | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wiki Wahine | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Life in Paradise | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ever Smart | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | What a Feeling | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Angel of Freedom | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fowler Blue | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Town Boy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arrabiata | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Apollo | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Leaf | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Socal Red | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smitten by Kitten | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feeling Grazeful | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annietown | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Self Isolation | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Dialed In | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belleo’s Music | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cayton Kid | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | McLaren Vale | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Balladeer | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Godsend | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B Dawk | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pec Tacular | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Top Secret | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | California Street | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Invictatatus | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heartfullofstars | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Italiano | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Got Thunder | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wharton | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Armagnac | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Them Down | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Dog | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Swear Dave | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Flying Drummer | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Trebbiano | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Union | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cover Me Up | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moment of Peace | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | South Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Pride | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Took Charge | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arham | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loud Mouth | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strongconstitution | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ground Attack | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Settecento | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dutch Bus | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irresistibly Sexy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Circle Back | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Verragio | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Careless Kitten | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quantum Quest | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heredia Boxer | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | The Boss Harty | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | No Malice | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Humboldt | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | Whacko Kid | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Drew Big | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.