Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 27, 2021

November 27, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ima Beast 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Classy n’ Silent 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Hit and Run 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Speedy Lynn 2.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Systemic Risk 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Takota 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Asha Ironborn 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fielder 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Piven 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Elektronic 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Hitters Park 3.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Bachelor Pad 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Silent Flash 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Reconfigure 2.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Jack Beanstalk 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Taos (FR) 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Proliferate 2.00 3 6-1
7 7 Coleyville 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Hyperfocus 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Threshold 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Easy Weekend 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Tricky Magician 15.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Majestic Melody 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Veloce 2.50 4 8-1
1 1 Souper Cohiba 3.50 4.5 8-1
6 4 Jegos Fire 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Show Me Your Spots 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 5 Society Joe 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 6 Sweepin Hard 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Lion Kingdom 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ingordwetrust 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pleasure’s Gold 4.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Dazzling Diva 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Sacred Dancer 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Majestic Horizon 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Well Actually 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Load Abroad 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 She Aint No Joke 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Talk to Ya Later 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Lady Fortune 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Phil in Echo 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Retail Therapist 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Golden Glider 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Robitaille 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Laraque 10.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Hall of Dreams 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Ralphie Boy 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Spanish Prince 4.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Haddassah’s Devil 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Mad Mocha 8.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Rapper Zapper 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Uncle Spider 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Factotum 30.00 8 15-1
4 4 Innuendo 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lapochka 2.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Sir Seamus 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Shangassah 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Told It All 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 7 Brass Compass 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Sunspear 20.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Kitten’s Solution 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Selfmade 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sandy Bay 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Kennedy Road S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Souper Stonehenge 1.60 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tap It to Win 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Smokin’ Jay 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Richiesinthehouse 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Clayton 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Pink Lloyd 2.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Lenny K 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Red River Rebel 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Malibu Secret 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 A Broken Breeze 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Mopolka 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Marais 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Antigone 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 I’ll Take the Gold 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 A Little Voodoo 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Cool Society 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Leon Azul 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Millennium Force 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Hello Friends 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Imagery 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Owen’s Tour Guide 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Fact Checking 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Spanish Ballerina 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Hell N Wild 2.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Ishiyaya 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Milano 2.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Malibu Edge 4.50 4.8 9-1
10 10 Tecumseh’s War 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Holyfield 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 U S Navy Cross 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Keep Grinding 6.00 7 13-1
11 11 Juan Pablo 12.00 7 13-1
12 12 Gospel Way 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Finalist 12.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Seguimi 20.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Embrace My Uncle 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Tycoon 20.00 10.1 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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