November 27, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tulsa Tornado | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Li Mu Bai (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Law Professor | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dominant Soul | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Appreciated | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gregory’s Pride | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tigerhon (FR) | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | C Falls | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Stand Taller | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Epimythium | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Panther | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Miss Ellie | 1.20 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoothlikebuttah | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roses and Candy | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | With This Vow | 2.50 | 13 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Girl (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Booze Runner | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fluent | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sterling Crest (IRE) | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pammy’s Ready | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Exit Soul | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Very Scary | 5.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Annie’s Song (IRE) | 4.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Mattie B | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Celestia | 15.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Isola Mia | 15.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Empire d’Oro | 30.00 | 18.3 | 35-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rock the Bourbon | 20.00 | 18.6 | 35-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Master | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dozo | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Did I Stutter | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Stretch | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Alegria | 1.80 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Riddle | 8.00 | 17.6 | 33-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Seabiscuit H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Field Pass | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Peak | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sacred Life (FR) | 1.60 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bob and Jackie | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lambeau | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flop Shot (IRE) | 4.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Eagle | 8.00 | 16.9 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tapit Doux | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Youteyourhonor | 4.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Taylor | 2.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Reno | 2.50 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sue Ettas Ghost | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maggie Fitzgerald | 5.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Jimmy Durante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Helens Well (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awake At Midnyte | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Travel Smart | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tezzaray (GB) | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liam’s Dove | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sparkle Blue | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bellatrix | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Half Past Twelve | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toeris | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Virulente (FR) | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reem Zabeel (IRE) | 15.00 | 20.3 | 38-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sumo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Affable | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | California Street | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Escape Route | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teton Valley | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Theorem | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Next Revolt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Letsgetlucky | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heartfullofstars | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Took Charge | 6.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hollywood Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Subconscious | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hudson Ridge | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Team Merchants | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Camp Hope | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Brilliant | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Airman | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Santin | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashiest | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sifting Sands (GB) | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Public Sector (GB) | 2.50 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | In Effect | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It Can Be Done | 20.00 | 15.1 | 29-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 30.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.