Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 26, 2021

November 26, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Commander Scott 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Guilty Lover 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Dapper Dan Man 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Guitar Slim 3.00 4 7-1
3 3 Arctic Rose 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Wild Firemaker 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Semi Charmed Life 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mangelsen 2.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 New Eagle 5.00 6.3 12-1
4 2 Frankincense 10.00 7.2 14-1
1A 6 Picking Roses 2.50 7.4 14-1
1 3 Sharpendup 2.50 7.4 14-1
9 9 Tigerbeach 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 1 Foldover 15.00 9 17-1
6 5 Big Falcon Rocket 12.00 9.5 18-1
2 1 Promising Shoes 15.00 SCRATCH
11 12 King of the Testo 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Briar Jumper 20.00 10 19-1
7 7 Tio Blas 12.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Makati Phil 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 2 Harbor Knight 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 5 Blazing Fire 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Chambliss 6.00 6.1 11-1
8 6 Pillage Da Village 8.00 8.1 15-1
5 4 My Little Flaco 12.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Southern Light 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Apriority Storm 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Money Well Spent 2.00 4.3 8-1
9 7 Spider Legs 6.00 5.5 10-1
10 8 Calaja 6.00 6 11-1
5 4 Crimson Feline 4.50 6.1 12-1
4 3 Theboyzgalaxy 10.00 7.1 13-1
3 2 G’s Deadline 8.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 The Missing Piece 12.00 8.3 16-1
6 5 Vita 12.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Trefoil 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Duepeg 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sweet Prayers 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fannie and Freddie 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Majestic Union 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Freudian 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Prima Ballerina 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 4 Bunnie Rae 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Chrome Racer 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Princess Theorem 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Ylikedis 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Russian Mafia 4.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Vividly (GB) 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Silver Take Charge 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Stillchargingmaria 5.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Sunny One 8.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Corluna 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cantata 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Zoom Up 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Underhill’s Tab 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 5 Midnight Hurricane 3.50 3 6-1
1A 2 Prather 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 4 Gran Muchaco 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 6 Boss’ Dialin In 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 3 Baltic Fleet 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 7 Tiz of Thee 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Real Money 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 3 Seven Scents 4.50 5.6 11-1
1 1 War Machine 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Hope and Dignity 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 10 A Song for Arch 12.00 8.6 16-1
10 9 Vice Versa 6.00 8.7 16-1
6 5 Excess Magic 6.00 8.9 17-1
3 2 Jack the Umpire 15.00 9.2 17-1
7 6 High Limit Room 8.00 9.6 18-1
9 8 Shackleford Strong 12.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 Midnight Blue Note 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tapizars Secret 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Thatsafactjack 6.00 SCRATCH
12 11 McFeely 30.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bouldering 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Helaire 3.50 4.3 8-1
1A 10 Gutzy 3.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Order Up 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Tambourine Star 3.50 5.4 10-1
10 11 All Mike No Mae 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Iknowididn’tdothat 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Mr. K W 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Ls’shoe’s Image 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Scoring Drive 12.00 8.1 15-1
11 12 Touchuponastar 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 I Like Dreaming 30.00 11.2 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 14:22
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Final
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Final
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4th - 9:33
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4th - 7:19
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4th - 9:42
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3rd - 7:03
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3rd - 9:36
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2nd - 4:33
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