November 26, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Deep | 50.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sutton Valley | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sonic Speed | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ember | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Viking Zim | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arrowheart | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prayer Book | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Anthem | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flight to Paradise | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Great Gazoo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bail Out | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jacks American Pie | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Breaking Stones | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Actuary (GB) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noctilucent | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamy Dolce | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Sunshine | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Profusion | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fotis | 50.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coach Bahe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Western Advantage | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mezcal | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flanigan’s Cove | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maoilin | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Volador | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Federalist Papers | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Entwine (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Equal Measure | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | L’Indiscret | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Forever Together S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flower Point | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucha Mezquina | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giacosa | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sailingintothewind | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speaktomeofsummer | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Platinum Paynter | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Trouble | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Whirlwind Ride | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Lilies | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doublepour | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Castle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Brown Shoes | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Copper Chalice | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Man Mike | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | Cara’s Daydreamer | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 10 | True Empress | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Fontanafredda | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 1 | Tough Street | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Lady of Thoroton | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Frosty Invasion | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Dream Central | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Trinity Titoli | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Coolcatsnkittens | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Carbon | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bean Christine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kitty Tin Tin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Admire My Crown | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ofalltheginjoints | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Noli Temere | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Imposing Treasure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jerusalem Gates | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Straight Skinny | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quickflash | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Casper Run | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Air Show | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bar Fourteen | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Gentleman | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Horn of Plenty | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rudy Rod | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Spirit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gio Ponti S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Monition | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Safe Conduct | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gussy Mac (IRE) | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kygo (GER) | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ocala Dream | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Original | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Never Surprised | 0.80 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boldish | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Comely S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Played Hard | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bees and Honey | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Weekend | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shalimar Gardens | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hybrid Eclipse | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Beautiful | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ninetypercentbrynn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Army Wife | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stanhope | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | South Sea | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Roamie | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boru | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smile Bryan | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R Boy Bode | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Mission | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Montauk Daddy | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valmont | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Discretionary Marq | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.