Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 26, 2021

November 26, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ocean Deep 50.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Sutton Valley 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Sonic Speed 12.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Ember 4.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Viking Zim 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Arrowheart 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Prayer Book 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Victory Anthem 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Flight to Paradise 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 The Great Gazoo 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bail Out 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ouch Ouch Ouch 12.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Jacks American Pie 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Breaking Stones 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Actuary (GB) 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Noctilucent 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bellamy Dolce 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Mucho Sunshine 30.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Profusion 2.50 6.1 11-1
8 8 Fotis 50.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Coach Bahe 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Western Advantage 6.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mezcal 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Flanigan’s Cove 3.50 4 8-1
8 8 Maoilin 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Volador 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Federalist Papers 3.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Entwine (IRE) 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Equal Measure 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 L’Indiscret 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Forever Together S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Flower Point 1.40 1.2 2-1
2 2 Mucha Mezquina 15.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Giacosa 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Sailingintothewind 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Speaktomeofsummer 2.50 6 11-1
6 6 Platinum Paynter 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lookin for Trouble 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 One Whirlwind Ride 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Seven Lilies 2.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Doublepour 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Big Castle 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Big Brown Shoes 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Copper Chalice 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Our Man Mike 4.50 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 2 Cara’s Daydreamer 20.00 2.5 5-1
16 10 True Empress 3.00 2.6 5-1
12 6 Fontanafredda 1.60 2.9 6-1
5 1 Tough Street 2.00 4 7-1
11 5 Lady of Thoroton 6.00 5.2 10-1
13 7 Frosty Invasion 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 4 Dream Central 15.00 5.9 11-1
14 8 Trinity Titoli 10.00 6.1 11-1
9 3 Coolcatsnkittens 6.00 7.2 14-1
15 9 Carbon 4.50 8.3 16-1
1 1 Big Bean Christine 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kitty Tin Tin 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Admire My Crown 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ofalltheginjoints 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Noli Temere 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Imposing Treasure 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jerusalem Gates 3.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 Straight Skinny 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Quickflash 3.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Run Casper Run 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Air Show 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Bar Fourteen 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 American Gentleman 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Horn of Plenty 4.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Rudy Rod 5.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Forest Spirit 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gio Ponti S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Monition 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Safe Conduct 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Gussy Mac (IRE) 30.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Kygo (GER) 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Ocala Dream 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Original 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Never Surprised 0.80 6.2 12-1
4 4 Boldish 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Comely S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Played Hard 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Bees and Honey 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Vegas Weekend 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Shalimar Gardens 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Hybrid Eclipse 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Crazy Beautiful 3.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Ninetypercentbrynn 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Army Wife 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stanhope 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 South Sea 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Uncle Roamie 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Boru 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Smile Bryan 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 R Boy Bode 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Bourbon Mission 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Montauk Daddy 3.50 6.7 13-1
4 4 Valmont 5.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Discretionary Marq 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 4:18
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Final
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Final
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4th - 0:12
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Final
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Final
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4th - 9:28
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4th - 9:39
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3rd - 9:25
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