November 21, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Donner Lake | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Rifey | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
8 | 7 | Self Isolation | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
5 | 5 | Sting Like a Bee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Irondale | 8.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
9 | 8 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 1.80 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
4 | 4 | Valiente | 10.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
3 | 3 | Partyofsixteen | 12.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mask Off | 6.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Big Flame | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
1 | 1 | Kennebec | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
5 | 5 | Steak and Cheese | 2.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
4 | 4 | Mucho Del Oro | 2.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
2 | 2 | Club Cal | 12.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
3 | 3 | Optimistic Valor | 4.00 | 19.2 | 36-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Straight Up G | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Disobey | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
2 | 2 | Star Entry | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
5 | 5 | Liberty Forever | 2.50 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
4 | 4 | Playin in the Band | 3.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
1 | 1 | Worse Read Sanchez | 5.00 | 17.9 | 34-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Unbreakable | 4.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
3 | 3 | Viazar | 1.60 | 15.2 | 29-1 |
6 | 6 | Tayet | 8.00 | 16.2 | 31-1 |
4 | 4 | B’esame Me Mucho | 12.00 | 17.3 | 33-1 |
1 | 1 | Ready Jet Go | 3.00 | 19.6 | 37-1 |
7 | 7 | Pop Pop’s Dream | 4.00 | 20.1 | 38-1 |
5 | 5 | Malibu Hannah | 12.00 | 22.7 | 43-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Artisan Dancer | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | I’m a Giraffe | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
9 | 9 | Sangre Azul | 3.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
3 | 3 | Unfaithful Ways | 12.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
4 | 4 | Pearls and Heels | 8.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
7 | 7 | Malibuena | 30.00 | 18.4 | 35-1 |
8 | 8 | Surely Spectacular | 4.00 | 19.8 | 37-1 |
1 | 1 | Big Mama Thornton | 8.00 | 27.2 | 51-1 |
6 | 6 | Lasya Dance | 30.00 | 30.7 | 58-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Provocation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
8 | 7 | Bristol Bayou | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
2 | 2 | Stella Noir | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
7 | 7 | Full of Grace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Founder’s Day | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
6 | 6 | Honor America | 10.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
1 | 1 | So Very Smart | 8.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
4 | 4 | Eyes Open | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Vella | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Majestic Gigi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 9 | Savvy Gal | 3.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
4 | 4 | Swirling | 6.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
9 | 8 | Square Peggy | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
5 | 5 | Miss Carousel | 4.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 | |
7 | 6 | A Dime for Me | 20.00 | 17.4 | 33-1 | |
8 | 7 | Too Much Heaven | 10.00 | 20.5 | 39-1 | |
2 | 2 | Invincibella (GB) | 3.00 | 22.3 | 42-1 | |
1 | 1 | Rose Princess | 12.00 | 31.7 | 60-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cary Grant S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | None Above the Law | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Fashionably Fast | 3.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
3 | 3 | Positivity | 4.00 | 17.3 | 33-1 |
7 | 7 | Principe Carlo | 12.00 | 21.1 | 40-1 |
5 | 5 | Peaceful Transfer | 8.00 | 22.5 | 42-1 |
6 | 6 | Loud Mouth | 8.00 | 23.5 | 44-1 |
4 | 4 | Colt Fiction | 2.50 | 37.4 | 71-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Buy American | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
11 | 11 | Laura Mars (IRE) | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Forbidden (FR) | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
12 | 12 | Tmorrowisalongtime | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Annaghlasa (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Dream of Jeanne | 10.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
6 | 6 | Trouble Making | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
3 | 3 | Leisurewear (IRE) | 8.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
7 | 7 | Buzz of New York (IRE) | 3.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
9 | 9 | Floral Essence | 12.00 | 18.6 | 35-1 | |
4 | 4 | Sunny Morning (FR) | 6.00 | 19.6 | 37-1 | |
8 | 8 | Washington Square | 20.00 | 20.7 | 39-1 | |
10 | 10 | Ever Smart | 20.00 | 25.4 | 48-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.