Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 19, 2021

November 19, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Map to My Heart 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Lady Macarena 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Vigilantia 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Va Va Voom 2.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Aventapp 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Mendham Mill 6.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Smitten by Kitten 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Velvet Slippers 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Ginja 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Sweet Pearl 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 California Kook 1.80 5.4 10-1
6 6 Varoma 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Trouville 5.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr. T’s Thirsty 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Hay Juan 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Prince Hussar 12.00 8 15-1
2 2 Bright Leaf 6.00 8.7 17-1
4 4 Clampett 3.50 8.9 17-1
5 5 Im Still Thirsty 12.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Tizlightning 3.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Polar 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Fight On 2.00 8.4 16-1
7 6 First Prez 6.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Barristan The Bold (GB) 4.00 9.8 19-1
4 98 Mr Vargas 0.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Bedrock 10.00 11.8 22-1
2 2 Fly the Sky 4.00 18.6 35-1
1 1 Psycho Dar 2.50 18.8 36-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Riviera Champ 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Town Boy 1.80 4.4 8-1
8 8 State of the Union 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Besame Mucho 5.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Medina Man 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Chasing Alchemy 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Pinedale 6.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 After the Candy 30.00 9 17-1
1 1 Mad Steven 8.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Via Egnatia 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dr. Troutman 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Absolute Unit 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Stirling Drive 6.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Fly to Mars 3.00 9 17-1
6 6 Move Over (GB) 10.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Seeking Refuge 15.00 12.7 24-1
4 4 Blameless 5.00 13 25-1
5 5 French Getaway 6.00 15.3 29-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Delta Wind 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Big Summer 5.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Cassie Belle 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Saturday Heist 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Rain Diva 6.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Kristi’s Tiger 3.50 8.2 16-1
8 8 September Secret 4.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Lila At the Beach 12.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Precious Insight 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Candy On Top 4.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 She’s a Bit Sassy 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 La Deuxieme Etoile 3.50 6.4 12-1
6 6 Warren’s Queen Bee 5.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Bonnie Brae 4.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Roubaix 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Infinite Love 15.00 8.6 16-1
12 98 Warren’s Showgirl 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lovers Odyssey 10.00 10.6 20-1
7 7 Heaven’s Ghost 30.00 12.3 23-1
2 2 Councilwoman Jilly 15.00 13.3 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.