November 12, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s So Shiny | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pammy’s Ready | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phenom | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Mary | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unsolved Mystery | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Fifty Five | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sai Phar | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Preskitt | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Dad | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kershaw | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Direct Line | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Legend | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Signofthecross | 4.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sippin N Kissin | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Erebus | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bally’s Charm | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agador Spartacus | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arthur Spooner | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fore Flag | 1.60 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | L L L Cool | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Essential Wager | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disco Ball | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Today’s Flavor | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deservedly | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who’s the Star | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soy Tapatio | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sting Like a Bee | 30.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Granola Girl | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Comedic | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shoppingforpharoah | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Beautiful | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Rena | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lilac Starlight | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ayellowroseoftexas | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Beachgrass | 12.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Diplomacy | 15.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Sea Glass | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bella Renella | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Chollima | 2.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stradari | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | Mavalous Mavalous | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Truly Fabulous | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Discernment | 5.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Season to Remember | 12.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Girona | 6.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Al’s Princess | 15.00 | 15.1 | 28-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | No Cover Charge | 12.00 | 16.7 | 32-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Rolinga | 8.00 | 18.3 | 35-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mamba Queen | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lava Lane | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shylock Eddie | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Rageous | 2.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keep Your Coil | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acai | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Righteously | 12.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bossy Soul | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Pulcinela | 2.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starship Defiant | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Moon | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zahra | 3.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Andy | 10.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Sky | 3.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hightailing | 12.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Sweet | 20.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.