November 7, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Keystone Field | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Tea Time | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Buzz | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red King | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lure Him In | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unwritten Code | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artisan Dancer | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spoiled Rotten | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bonita Leona | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Take | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girl Ranger | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blonde Bombshell | 15.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Into the Sunrise | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Papa’s Golden Boy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Beer Can Man | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Commander (FR) | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Chaos Theory | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | The Critical Way | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doncic | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Scott Daddy | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Augusta Melody | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Albizu | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swiss Swoo (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrens Candy Man | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eagle Chief | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Circumvent | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hulk | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nothngoodcomseasy | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brother Reid | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Ziggy | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Boss Harty | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosenquist | 6.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongol Altai | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | World Cruiser | 12.00 | 18.2 | 34-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Dorita’s Happy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | O Shugah Mint | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Philly Lishes | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunatic | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Panty Night | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suezaaana | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Life’s Emotions | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Golden Halo | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Starship Endeavor | 5.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cal Rough | 30.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Anonymously | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Ice | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rose’s Crystal | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ultimate Hy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frose | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fearless Girl (IRE) | 2.50 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Bird | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aloha Kitten | 3.50 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Met in Miami | 8.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Resarcio | 20.00 | 16.9 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Betty Grable S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fi Fi Pharoah | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Vita | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Showtime | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoothlikebuttah | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Sweep | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harper’s Gallop | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lottery Pick | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Picota (GB) | 2.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wellswort (IRE) | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Katonah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cabo Spirit | 3.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Khantaro d’Oro | 5.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | L Bee | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maynard | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Apollo | 30.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maybe Never | 6.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saddle Up Jessie | 12.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | M K Heart | 15.00 | 17.7 | 34-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stotland | 20.00 | 19.6 | 37-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.