November 6, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Via Egnatia | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Offlee Naughty | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Appreciated | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit Maker | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Hornet | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kazan (IRE) | 8.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 3.50 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jack Sprout | 20.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Fast Bro | 3.00 | 20.2 | 38-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tizamagician | 1.60 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cupid’s Claws | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Grace | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zestful | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lone Rock | 1.20 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Locally Owned | 6.00 | 16.2 | 31-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hapi Hapi | 30.00 | 19.1 | 36-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Goldikova S. Presented By Pnc
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Grace | 1.60 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Warren’s Showtime | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Going Global (IRE) | 1.80 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zofelle (IRE) | 6.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bodhicitta (GB) | 12.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Constantia | 15.00 | 16.6 | 31-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 20.00 | 16.9 | 32-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abscond | 8.00 | 17.2 | 33-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glesga Gal (IRE) | 15.00 | 40.6 | 77-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Edgeway | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gamine | 0.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ce Ce | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Estilo Talentoso | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Proud Emma | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bella Sofia | 2.50 | 19.5 | 37-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 12 | Chaos Theory | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 18 | 18 | Hollywood Talent | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Commander (FR) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Beer Can Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Arrest Me Red | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Critical Way | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bombard | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Kimari | 6.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charmaine’s Mia | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fast Boat | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glass Slippers (GB) | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Pal | 3.50 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Extravagant Kid | 12.00 | 16.2 | 31-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gear Jockey | 5.00 | 17.9 | 34-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Caravel | 20.00 | 23.1 | 44-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lieutenant Dan | 6.00 | 30.9 | 58-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emaraaty Ana (GB) | 5.00 | 47.7 | 90-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Case of You (IRE) | 8.00 | 48.3 | 91-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pingxiang | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jasper Prince | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eight Rings | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Life Is Good | 0.80 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ginobili | 4.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Restrainedvengence | 20.00 | 18.1 | 34-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver State | 3.50 | 22.6 | 43-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snapper Sinclair | 12.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Turf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dogtag | 30.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pocket Square (GB) | 15.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Going to Vegas | 12.00 | 18.1 | 34-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Like Goddess | 3.50 | 20.7 | 39-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Sister Nat (FR) | 15.00 | 21.9 | 41-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loves Only You (JPN) | 4.00 | 41.7 | 79-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love (IRE) | 4.00 | 45.5 | 86-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Audarya (FR) | 5.00 | 45.6 | 86-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rougir (FR) | 6.00 | 45.8 | 86-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Acanella (GB) | 12.00 | 46.5 | 88-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Supreme (IRE) | 20.00 | 47.6 | 90-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ocean Road (IRE) | 20.00 | 47.6 | 90-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Qatar Racing Breeders’ Cup Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Following Sea | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aloha West | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Schivel | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C Z Rocket | 12.00 | 17.5 | 33-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Reserve | 6.00 | 20.8 | 39-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matera Sky | 20.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lexitonian | 20.00 | 21.5 | 41-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jackie’s Warrior | 1.20 | 22.2 | 42-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Firenze Fire | 10.00 | 24.9 | 47-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Mile Presented By Pdjf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Got Stormy | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Smooth Like Strait | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hit the Road | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Queen Supreme (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Raging Bull (FR) | 15.00 | 15.6 | 30-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Forza | 5.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Casa Creed | 15.00 | 19.9 | 38-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Ivar (BRZ) | 12.00 | 22 | 42-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Blowout (GB) | 8.00 | 22.4 | 42-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | In Love (BRZ) | 8.00 | 22.8 | 43-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Space Blues (IRE) | 3.00 | 47.1 | 89-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mother Earth (IRE) | 8.00 | 48 | 91-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master of The Seas (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Pearls Galore (FR) | 12.00 | 48.7 | 92-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Real Appeal (GER) | 15.00 | 49.2 | 93-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vin de Garde (JPN) | 20.00 | 50 | 95-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Private Mission | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | As Time Goes By | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letruska | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shedaresthedevil | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malathaat | 4.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Flag | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dunbar Road | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Horologist | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clairiere | 12.00 | 16.3 | 31-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Stripe (ARG) | 30.00 | 18.4 | 35-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Marche Lorraine (JPN) | 30.00 | 19.7 | 37-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 18 | Friar’s Road | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | United | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Domestic Spending (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Mogul (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rockemperor (IRE) | 15.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Acclimate | 20.00 | 16.1 | 30-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tribhuvan (FR) | 20.00 | 17.5 | 33-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Astronaut | 20.00 | 19.5 | 37-1 | |
| 16 | 14 | Channel Maker | 20.00 | 20.5 | 39-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Gufo | 8.00 | 25 | 47-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Tarnawa (IRE) | 1.80 | 29.1 | 55-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Teona (IRE) | 6.00 | 29.9 | 57-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Broome (IRE) | 20.00 | 30 | 57-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Walton Street (GB) | 8.00 | 30.3 | 57-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sisfahan (FR) | 12.00 | 31 | 59-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Yibir (GB) | 12.00 | 31 | 59-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Bolshoi Ballet (IRE) | 15.00 | 31.6 | 60-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Japan (GB) | 20.00 | 32.5 | 61-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Medina Spirit | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Essential Quality | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knicks Go | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Rod Charlie | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tripoli | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Art Collector | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stilleto Boy | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Max Player | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Express Train | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.