November 6, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Triple Elvis | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Provocateur | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Graphic Detail | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Maestro | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ballot Box | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Levy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lookin to Fly | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Time Lady | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stella Mars | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Herald Angel | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Latkes | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appreciate | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | A Ring Thing | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adele Kat | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mazal Eighteen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Khali Magic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fifth Risk | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Stormi Cat Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Electric Youth | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proper Grammar | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cookie Cove | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Turnback The Alarm H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Marissa | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gibberish | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jilted Bride | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Darn Hot | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firing Carol | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Mohawk S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Somelikeithotbrown | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Border | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City Man | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Therapist | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sanctuary City | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Klickitat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rinaldi | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tiergan | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncle’s Gem | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame It On Mary | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theodora Grace | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Highway Queen | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s the One | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Get the Candy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Hill Lil | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snicket | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kreesa La Wrote | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Melissa | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chasing Cara | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jen’s Battle | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | I Love Jaxson | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Nutzforboltz | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Kumar | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Mountain | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | O Shea Can U See | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Sicilia Mike | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Postino’s Vow | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Chelsey Flower S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shad Nation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Misthaven (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischievous Kiss | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Philly Eagles (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ouraika (FR) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caironi | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kneesnhips | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evangeline Allons | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Milagro | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gold Panda | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Graytful | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Durkin’s Call | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Pal | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Market Alert | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money in the Bank | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blue Gator | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Stewart Manor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Eyes | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gal in a Rush | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Club | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Fudge | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stand Up Comic | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Benbang | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rigby | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlee O | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Still My Babe | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flip My Id | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Fast | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Uninvited Guest | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Necromancer | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spettro | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hooky Player | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kingham Hill | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toga Dancer | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rvindicated | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Regal Empire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dream of a Day | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pipito | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Wick Loves a Fight | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Snow | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Irie Spice | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Fact | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Water Flow | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.