October 31, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Targeted Return | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Scott Alaia | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Matoula | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Alpine Queen | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Seahorse d’Oro | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Iaintfraidanoghost | 1.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 12 | Kerik | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tiz Her Way | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mia Bea Star | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Magnetique | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
11 | 11 | Big Al’s Gal | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 9 | Wicked Amber | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
13 | 13 | Cazilda Fortytales | 2.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Sky Kitten | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Lady Fatima | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Kitten’s Romance | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Sassy Melissa | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Kissing Frogs | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Take It Off | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Carly Hustle | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Love That Face | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Shanes Pretty Lady | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Lot of Honey | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | April Antics | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Handle the Truth | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Red Pepper Grill | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Stimulus Check | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Shared Future | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Ambassador Kelly | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Union Lake | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Diamond Collector | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Circle Back Jen | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Radio Days | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Glitter Up | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Hellman | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
14 | 7 | Cash Kid | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
12 | 5 | No Burn | 0.40 | 6 | 11-1 | |
13 | 6 | Deputies Edge | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
11 | 4 | Devour | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
5 | 2 | Rogers Ginger | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
7 | 3 | Battle Map | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
2 | 2 | Seizing the Dream | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Ocean Deep | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | War Light | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Canyouhearmenow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Romantic Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | High Deff (FR) | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Bail Out | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Truth Hurts | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Union Maiden | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Aunt Kat | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Honor Way | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Victim of Love | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Starfront | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Never Enough Time | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bold Ruler H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Continuation | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
8 | 8 | Amatteroftime | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Plainsman | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Wendell Fong | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Drafted | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lil Commissioner | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Wondrwherecraigis | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Bal Harbour | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Regal Retort | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 6 | Lake Avenue | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Glass Ceiling | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 5 | Lady Rocket | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Easy to Bless | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Always Carina | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Piedi Bianchi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Don’t Call Me Mary | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Mrtandroseysboy | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | El Veinticuatro | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Workingman’s Dude | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Flatbush | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
9 | 9 | Empire Station | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
10 | 10 | I’m Over U | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Compedence Is Key | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Heads Or Tails | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Appalachian Legend | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Kong Loves a Fight | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.