Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 30, 2021

October 30, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 John’s Promise 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 They Shot Sonny 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Native Hawk 1.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Yabba Dabba Dude 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Tomater Gator 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 A Penn Legacy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 E J’s Revenge 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Dr Harlan 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Inside Risk 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Creekmore 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tonka Flower 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Kevin Witte 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lawn Boy (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kozy’s Wildcat 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Nimitz 8.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Magical Mousse 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Connecting 2.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Broadway Ruckus 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Heartness 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Pop Pop Susi 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Dontforgettoblink 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sancocho (MEX) 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Hit the Ticket 4.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Mr. Shortandsimple 3.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Hot to Seek Her 5.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Americano 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 In Him With Him 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Tangled Web 6.00 8 15-1
2 2 My Friend Linus 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 David’s Prospec 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kathern’s Joy 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Not Invented Here 12.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Run Happy Run 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Jack Luvs Nova 1.60 3.1 6-1
4 4 Quad Eights 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Phil the Banker 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Inject the Light 12.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Forefront 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Maximo Strong 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Yo Nessroundonkern 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Street Facts 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Cajun Invasion 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Whizwit 5.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Negligence 10.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Lying Jeff 12.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Imperial Bird 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Life On the Nile 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 High Velocity 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Redeem Eddie 3.00 3.6 7-1
1A 6 The King Cheek 1.60 4.3 8-1
7 8 Spitball 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Causeway Jones 4.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Seanow 1.60 SCRATCH
2 2 Jeopardy James 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 My Boy Lenny 12.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Steadytillready 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 4 Maid the Journey 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Twitty City 10.00 2.2 4-1
2B 7 Dr. Ferber 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 8 Unidentified Man 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Kratos 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Tapping the Glass 1.80 4.3 8-1
1 2 Celtic Treasure 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 9 Dig Charlie Dig 3.50 SCRATCH
3 1 I Am That I Am 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Magic of Love 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Mutakaamil 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Jaime Jamel 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Panna Mine 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Confusion 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Tiz Triumphant 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Appeal to Respond 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hair of the Dog 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.