October 29, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fight On | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizhotndusty | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clayton Delaney | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grit and Curiosity | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polar | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Owning | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bronn | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scary Fast Smile | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Herd Immunity | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doc Adams | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teton Valley | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Well | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongol Altai | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Hang Charlie | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Club Mesquite | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bravestone | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Irresistibly Sexy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Primer Dimer | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fishin the River | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mayhem and Chaos | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rocketcent | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Awol | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Park Avenue | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dream of Jeanne | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Town Sis | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Assignation | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel of Freedom | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sauls Call | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barsabas | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Last Renegade | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double the Gold | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Tizlightning | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Robin | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Ice Storm | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Convince | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot On the Trail | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Gem | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss You Mom | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Sky | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Voyager | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Launch Pad | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Test Drive | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Intense | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Moon | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Fly to Mars | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luck of the Draw | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Irish Heatwave | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stage Ready | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | East Rand | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liberal (IRE) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Black Album (FR) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blameless | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Palm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Reno | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Youteyourhonor | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half Past Twelve | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lilly Babe | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sally Stanford | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Empire Pass | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allwinedup | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.