October 29, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Status | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Invincible | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dazzy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royally Blue | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keen Dancer | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frosted Wild Ride | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mostly Harmless | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chris and Dave | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Croatian | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Thirty Five | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vintage Hollywood | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Control Group | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Musical America | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Valentine | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Join the Dots | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Vixen | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Sunny Valentine | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Girl Faith | 50.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Angeloverthepulpit | 50.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Venus Oyzo | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tekila | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | First Constitution (CHI) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Limonite | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backsideofthemoon | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | T Loves a Fight | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yankee Division | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speaker’s Corner | 1.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Missy Greer | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Signora d’Oro | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hype House | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ace Girl | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond the Hype | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full Count Felicia | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anador (FR) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss You Ella | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | S Oh S | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tizmet | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shine | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beside Herself | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Catiche | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Anileate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tap the Faith | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | A Mo Reay | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Flight | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Lights | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dads Good Runner | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hagler | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iconic Adventure | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jupiter Rain | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Line Overdrive | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Bustin Bay | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Itsakeyper | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Kept Waiting | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Social Whirl | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Fetching | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Summer Brew | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grudge | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 2.50 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Violent Point | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Breakfastatbonnies | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Big Q | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Honey Money | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Beautiful Karen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Ruvies in Time | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Cartwheel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Guns Blazing | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Left Leaning Lucy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Rosey’s Peach | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Greatest Love | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pendolino | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chloe Rose | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shaker Shack | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Malibu Luna | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Spun d’Etat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 7 | Cazilda Fortytales | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Take It Off | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Oyster Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Made You Look | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Value Proposition (GB) | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Emaraaty (GB) | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Maxwell Esquire | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Battle Station | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Backtohisroots | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballydooley (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flavius | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Buy Land and See | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Guildsman (FR) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Wendell Fong | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lil Commissioner | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Pulsate | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Fauci | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Slow Crossing | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alicia’s Way | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eudaimonia | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bells On Her Toes | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Laffit Girl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Saratoga Spirit | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Pals Ally | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jet Set Juliet | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Sweetie Pie | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Derby Kisses | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Write the Check | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Alpha Jo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Miss Empire State | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.