October 28, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gentle Annie | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Lady Lexi | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Deal | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Stones | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extra Effort | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cover Photo | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Reina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Gallina | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Causeway of Dreams | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tales of Makenna | 1.80 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Nail | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Firefly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Exfiltration | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Raving | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Saluki | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Saigon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hiya Harry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Decreed | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Favorite Impulse | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Escapewithfriends | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | She’s a Black Belt | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spun d’Etat | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Customerexperience | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Roxy Girl | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fair Regis | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shasta Star | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Subsidiary | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Inkblot | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Maeve | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taki | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Raymond Road | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Caragate | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Carbon | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Preposterous | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Write the Check | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Sweetie Pie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Lemon Red | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | False Hope | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | N Y Fancy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pimenova | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Uni Loves a Fight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Empire Lily | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | I’ll Go All In | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 7 | Devious Mo | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2B | 9 | Advance Notice | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Speed | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie Five O | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Glory Road | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Handy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 10 | Forever Wicked | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Power Up Paynter | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince James | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Race Craft | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Orb in the Tower | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Tide | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Landbiscuit | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Purple Hearted | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | F F Rocket | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fingal | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Wicked Indeed | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Flintshire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Barrage | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Frenchboro | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Public Information | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tallis | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Thomond Park | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Briggs | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Top Gun Tommy | 2.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fenway | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapizearance | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On Our Way Boyz | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quickflash | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bobby | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doublepour | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Lilies | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Brown Shoes | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Uno | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Chalice | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | My First Grammy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Boldish | 2.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Joe Louis (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Regal Speaker | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Never Explain | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Treason | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ranger Fox | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Space Launch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Quid | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Master of the Ring | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Amano | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Klickitat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dust Devil | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Cause | 3.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zap Man | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Got the Gold | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | B C Glory Days | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bohemian Ruby | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Brody | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blitz to Win | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Umbria | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brew Pub | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Brother Neil | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Giant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.