October 27, 2021 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 9 | Mis Elain E Us | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diva Banker | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 7 | Cabo Dorado | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 10 | Only Reward’s | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shi O’Shi | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Kitty’s Promise | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skyvalue | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2B | 4 | Bow Maker | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Hoptown Honey | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 8 | Isabellacannetella | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Testa | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz of Thee | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Micky From Wexford | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bringer of Rain | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Overlander | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Boat Song | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All in Sync | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mamzooj | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Loco | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paid Twice | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pressure | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Royal Consort | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ruggs | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Circle Back Jack | 3.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fort Defiance | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chase Tracker | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Major Frontier | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tradeoff | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crown the Prince | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thunder Ahead | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Sting | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bugle of War | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Pretty Lucky | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Bodes Well | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ash Flat | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten’s Man | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beverly Park | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cove Blue | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lost in Limbo | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Machismo | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cave Run | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Volubile | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aggressivity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Diamond | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Rags | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Road Abroad | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rare Stripe | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cronus | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Simply Jack | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mount Kenya | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brown Delivers | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Fred | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sanctified | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Z Force Majure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | February Son | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sprinklehead | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tropical Tornado | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Battle of Britain | 10.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Duke | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Ready to Answer | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Name Rejected | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Speitful Sam | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Audacious Antoine | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Leslie’s Gold | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Grandeur | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Hpnotiq Rhythm | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Illbootengotty | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jezebel’s Kitten | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vividly (GB) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Than Unusual | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bellagamba (ARG) | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ask Bailey | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elke Do Jaguarete (BRZ) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Flamingos | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pythoness | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oxum Power | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timeless Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pallas Athene | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wait for Nairobi | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barista | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Discreet Kitty | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Miss Remmia | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Landed Gentry | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Abstract Moment | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pappysaysyes | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Howboutdemapples | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Triple P | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Makemebelieve | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chilly | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Emotional Intel | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Vow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Margeaux Romance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Kancancutie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Marie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Miracle Mischief | 5.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.