October 24, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Grandconcourse Guy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dixie’s Two Stents | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aurelian Man | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Santos to Wilson | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thanks Maggio (ARG) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top Royal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Summer Dream | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Daniel’s Magic | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vegan | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dozo | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Joy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solitaire | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Gigi | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Sonny | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Musawaat (GB) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Premio | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kazan (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Appreciated | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stirling Drive | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smilin Evie | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Queen Bee | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Her Perfect Vision | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Connelly | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nation of Laws | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bonnie Brae | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preskitt | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Addydidit | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Invincibella (GB) | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fantasy Heat | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Melting Snow | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trickle In | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Princess | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storming Lady | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ascot Storm | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Right | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea to Success | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sensemaker | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Don Looney | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crash Corrigan | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Beat | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Laker Mamba | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Coupe | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bender | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Me B Bubba T | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Algeria (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Achilleus | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farquhar | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Anoakia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eda | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Benedict Canyon | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shes Bout a Mover | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady T | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cadillac Margarita | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wall Street Trader | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Bro Coop | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Facetious | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Rinca | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Corleone | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Memes | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Apollo | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cabo Spirit | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Altruist | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | El Potente | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Mayhem | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | St Anthony | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.