October 24, 2021 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whatstheconnection | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King of Truth | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old Town Road | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suburban Court | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Come Alone | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vidal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Stella | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aboukir Bay | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bali Del Sol | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Devilly | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Ignore | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vialetto | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Xtreme Gem | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girls House | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Hope | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swift Action | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Argumental | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kancancutie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gillian Elizabeth | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Elle of the Ball | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wile E Away | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Madelyn’s Magic | 10.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Enforcer | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Living Water | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tapped Off | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dahtestes Hero | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swath | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dealmeinbud | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Duke of Edinburgh | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outcome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kiss Away | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cause a Stir | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Illustrious | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | American Chavo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Midnight J J | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Flecha | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Savoy | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nic and Zoe | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Escape Fund | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saintsation | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Well Spent | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sapphire Royalty | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Wandaful | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jill Babe | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delta Gamma Cats | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quick Tempo | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Competitive Saint | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inhalation (GB) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mark of the Z | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Elusive Mischief | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Strike Me Down | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Exprompt (FR) | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Into the Sunrise | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Final Cut | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tasting the Stars | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sally’s Curlin | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Its Cold in Dehere | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | High Regard | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Cheetara (CHI) | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Suggestive Honor (ARG) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Rood And Riddle Dowager S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Micheline | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luck Money | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | English Affair | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Key Biscayne | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eesha My Flower | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Lune (GB) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Viburnum | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer in Saratoga | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Hear You | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kelsey’s Cross | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Warrior’s Charge | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Sixth Sense | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highest Honors | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pirate’s Punch | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thomas Shelby | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Mesa | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Amiche | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Shuffle | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magna Mater (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Uyuni | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joy of Painting | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Gladys | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Rockette | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Batyah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mizzen Ash | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Freedom Bound | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lake Barkley | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Ursulina | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pliantlea | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aizu | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dawn’s Dancer | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Point Wild | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.