October 23, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Riviera Champ | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Roy C | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Get Back Goldie | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La’och Aloysius | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookout Point | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | State of the Union | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sundown Warren | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Recaptured Freedom | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Walking Boss | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chris Fix | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hannigan | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Defense Wins | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Street | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play Chicken | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mariners Way | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Secret Club | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luvluv | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ottawa Fire (IRE) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lure Him In | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exalted Joy | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unbroken Star | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luck of the Draw | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Cabbie | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Wind | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invictatatus | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Kid | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Issa Court | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piazzetta | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Summer | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chao Mar | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feeling Grazeful | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Dazzler | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spanish Channel | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big News Coming | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shez Our Arch | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mistaka | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Sweep | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Queengol | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Founder’s Day | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honor America | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Full of Grace | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maxim Strider | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Neptune’s Storm | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Order and Law | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shooters Shoot | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Eagle | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lambeau | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dubby Dubbie | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Barbwire | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Touchdown Brown | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Synthesis | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Armor | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Family Biz | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Willy the Cobbler | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jack Sprout | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Urban | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lonely On Top | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kjos Kid | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tonito’s | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Booze Runner | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vulin | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shoppingforpharoah | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | English Meadow | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Mattie B | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | She’s So Shiny | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | One Arrow | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ayellowroseoftexas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Silent Beauty | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.