Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 21, 2021

October 21, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Combating 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Sunny Saint 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Private Code 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Magic Wizard 1.60 3.2 6-1
6 6 Violet’s Brother 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Spritzer 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Angel’s Entry 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Baci 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Shesalittle Edgy 1.20 1.5 3-1
3 3 Decoupage 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Tequila Fog 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Midtown Rose 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Shatter Me 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mambo Dancer 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 A Toast to Kay 12.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Dilly Dilly Philly 2.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Jenn’s the Boss 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Square Peg 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Morgans Melody 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Chit Chat Girl 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Sundrenched 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Uno Tigress 3.00 8 15-1
1 1 Splendor Gal 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Enduros Tigress 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Daredevil Bull 8.00 1.2 2-1
9 8 Miss Artsy Nouveau 8.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Karma Is Golden 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Chalk Hill 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Peachy Weachy 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Catherines Connect 5.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Misspoken 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 High Frontier 6.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Bluegrass On Tap 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crownedcountcristo 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Jimmy the Kid 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Judicial Mandate 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Big Tall Dawg 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 The Don of Squan 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Fearless Fly 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Friar Tuck 2.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chick’s Shadow 8.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 Inside the Box 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Dancer’s Melody 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Trolley Ride 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Miss Leslie 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Villanelle 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Daria’s Angel 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Alta Velocita 2.00 2.5 5-1
8 5 Cause I Said 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 1 Miss Liana 4.50 4.5 8-1
4 2 Caira 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 6 Fifth Risk 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 3 Laughin’ Place 8.00 6.1 11-1
1 4 R Averie Lynn 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Shall Return 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Be Bop a Lola 12.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Quality too Spare 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Princess Kaira 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Lefty Cannon 8.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Me Me’s Galaxy 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Pourmearose 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Hit a Homer Honey 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Magic Mikaela 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Don’tmakeazeen 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Princess Emma Jo 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Annielino 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Balboa’s Smile 8.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.