October 20, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Intrepid Daydream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rolin N Controlin | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prima Ballerina | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dario’s Angel | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Effect | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nothingmakesense | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liking It Twisted | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Behemah Star | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Tone | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artistic Reason | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Polterer | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tate | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kratos | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Danny Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trupia | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Jerome | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kodapendent | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Event Party | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Comedic Timing | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Licorice | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Kid | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | No Fooling Dude | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Americano | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfetto | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tonka Flower | 1.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iwishiwaspecial | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toga Challenger | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Asset | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trappeze Artist | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leme At Em | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muchacho Macho | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mega Millions | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Edict | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taino | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Plus Seven | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Exception | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Luke | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ricardito | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | She’s All Courage | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Better With Age | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Positive Power | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Artie’s Rose | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Courageous Grace | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Marketability | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | La Castiglione | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tuff But Fair | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Mikey’s Jewel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Flat Out Phoebe | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King Nekia | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Visual Artist | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spitball | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Expensive Style | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palatial Times | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Cairo Kid | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Investment | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heir Port | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rileys Dude | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chase Runner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rocket Blast | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Factor This In | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Day | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Flying | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Adams | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Command | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Invasion | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Basti Blue | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gutzy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grunder’s Call | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Grant | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grumley | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pop Pop Susi | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diving | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.