October 16, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Kitty | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Topoftheglen | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dontcallmesweety | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erratique | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crumlin Jet | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbee Noanst | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tarantula | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Super Lunar | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Only Believe | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Princessa Polly | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fionnuala | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rosa’s Soul | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mia’s Authority | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cliff’s Head | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smarty Illusion | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | I’m Not Perfect | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Silenzio | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Incendio | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gancho | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Cashmere | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speak Unity | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Reload | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Chi Too | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stunning Rivers | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Treasure Quest | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deeply in Love | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Classy Gizmo | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crumlin Bird | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Delightful Dreamer | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms. P’s Bella | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canadian Essence | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Miah | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elfin Forest | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katy and Emma | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Bestia | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal City Reign | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Text Me Up | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Her Joey | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trish the Dish | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy’s Dream | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Derby Day | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gea | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sararenda | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calais Cove | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | For Kicks | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capable | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hanchy | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Demogorgon | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Horizon | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Loaded Vixen | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Intense Company (IRE) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waltzofthesamurai | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Olympic Fencer | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzling Diva | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Culatello | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Brentwood | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Foresters Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Stole the Ring | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Silent Ghost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rosie Amor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Loaded Secret | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | At the Lyric | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gormley Girl | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stylish Gent | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lament | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Ready for the Lady | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Likeso | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Rapper Zapper | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Day Tripper | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stealth Mission | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Thrill of the Day | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bartica | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Queens Quay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Morning Thoughts | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Daniel Sun | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Master McGrath | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | City Legend | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonquest | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enchant Me | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Runninforcover | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Free Shipping | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Maritime Mission | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Star Chamber | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bolu | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Expo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chancel | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Regal Intent | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Romantic | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forest Selection | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Righteous Robbie | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Maple | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Victory Town | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | English Conqueror | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holyfield | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Broadway | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Small Talk | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unilateral | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Reliability | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shangassah | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Like Larry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Desolator | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.