Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 16, 2021

October 16, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Call Me Kitty 1.80 2 4-1
5 5 Topoftheglen 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dontcallmesweety 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Erratique 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Crumlin Jet 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Unbee Noanst 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Tarantula 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Super Lunar 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Only Believe 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 La Princessa Polly 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Fionnuala 4.00 5 9-1
10 10 Rosa’s Soul 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Mia’s Authority 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Cliff’s Head 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Smarty Illusion 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 I’m Not Perfect 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Silenzio 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Incendio 3.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Gancho 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Queen Cashmere 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Speak Unity 1.60 3.5 7-1
7 7 Musical Reload 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 I’m a Chi Too 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Stunning Rivers 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Treasure Quest 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Deeply in Love 8.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 Classy Gizmo 4.00 4 8-1
9 9 Crumlin Bird 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Delightful Dreamer 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Ms. P’s Bella 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Canadian Essence 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Wicked Miah 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Elfin Forest 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Katy and Emma 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 La Bestia 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Royal City Reign 20.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Text Me Up 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Call Her Joey 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Trish the Dish 2.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Candy’s Dream 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Stormy Derby Day 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Gea 6.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Sararenda 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Calais Cove 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 For Kicks 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Capable 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Hanchy 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Demogorgon 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Majestic Horizon 4.00 5 9-1
10 10 Loaded Vixen 3.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Intense Company (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Waltzofthesamurai 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Olympic Fencer 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Dazzling Diva 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Culatello 10.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Miss Brentwood 12.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 Foresters Princess 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Stole the Ring 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Silent Ghost 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Rosie Amor 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Loaded Secret 20.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 At the Lyric 20.00 10.4 20-1
4 4 Gormley Girl 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stylish Gent 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Lament 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 6 Ready for the Lady 4.00 4.5 9-1
11 7 Likeso 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 5 Rapper Zapper 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Day Tripper 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Stealth Mission 12.00 6.1 11-1
12 8 Thrill of the Day 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Bartica 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Queens Quay 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Morning Thoughts 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Daniel Sun 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Master McGrath 5.00 2.9 6-1
9 8 City Legend 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Moonquest 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Enchant Me 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Runninforcover 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Free Shipping 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Maritime Mission 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Star Chamber 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bolu 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Expo 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Chancel 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Regal Intent 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 4 Tiz Romantic 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Forest Selection 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Passthepuddinpleaz 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 6 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 6 11-1
9 8 Righteous Robbie 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Red Maple 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Victory Town 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 8 English Conqueror 2.50 4.9 9-1
5 4 Holyfield 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Broadway 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Small Talk 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Unilateral 20.00 7 13-1
9 7 Reliability 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 5 Shangassah 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Just Like Larry 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My Sea Cottage (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Desolator 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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