Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 16, 2021

October 16, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Feathers (IRE) 1.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Get On the Bus 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Kartvelian (IRE) 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Can’thelpfallin (IRE) 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ivy League 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Cider Apple (GB) 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Lady Emily 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Inner Beauty (IRE) 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 For the Good Times 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Great One 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Nolo Contesto 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Positivity 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Took Charge 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Escape Route 3.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Invincibella (GB) 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Savvy Gal 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Swirling 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Magical Gray 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Nightlife 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Vella 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 A Dime for Me 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wicked Trick 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 I Got No Munny 1.80 2.6 5-1
3 3 Established 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Fore Left 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Kneedeepinsnow 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Surfing Star 10.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fearless Girl (IRE) 1.80 3 6-1
6 6 Rose’s Crystal 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Cedar’s Stars (GB) 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Unicorn 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Zydeco Mama 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 New Heat 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Ultimate Hy 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Mercy Mercy 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Kleen Karma 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 So Very Smart 1.60 2 4-1
4 4 Nan Elizabeth 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Roses R Blue 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Platonic 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Tiz My Princess 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Supersonic Flyer 3.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Dual Reality 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Sheila’s Charlie 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Distaff H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Warren’s Showtime 1.80 2 4-1
5 5 Bella Vita 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Cassie Belle 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sedamar 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Pulpit Rider 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Anna Fantastic 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flame McGoon 4.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Bonita Leona 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Artisan Dancer 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Spoiled Rotten 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Unwritten Code 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Sue Ettas Ghost 3.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Respect the Ride 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Miss Malia 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Scat Attack 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Big Seven 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Candy On Top 1.60 2.7 5-1
8 8 Abhita 12.00 4.2 8-1
13 13 Smilin Evie 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Ball Lass 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Infinite Love 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Warren’s Showgirl 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Vivacious Vanessa 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Peacehaven 5.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Surely Spectacular 15.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Keeping Tradition 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Precious Insight 12.00 8.3 16-1
14 14 Ghostem 15.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 Workin Ninetofive 20.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Roubaix 50.00 12.2 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More