October 16, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mick’sbestbetyet | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Grant | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gimme’s Goldengirl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Butter Pecan | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Live Aid | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hufflepuff | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mending | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Floating By | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Olive’s Bumpa | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glory March | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Congress Hall | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simmard Shenanigan | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mizzen Air | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Misspotofgold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Milagra | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Long Distance Love | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ellarouge | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hummin’ the Funk | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Prize | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Special Freedom | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | You Never Call | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Persuasion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shyla Girl | 50.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ordinary Girl | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salamina | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Minnetonka | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Babe | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bay of Angels | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Some Nights | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Wildcat | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pass It On | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Made to Hustle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Social Exclusion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Americas Woman | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tea in China | 2.50 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spicy Margarita | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Splendid View | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dotada | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olivia Darling | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beneath the Stars | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Bound | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Murph | 1.60 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lanfrankophile | 2.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get Groovy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Valuable Breigh | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moquist | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belle of the North | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flava’s Dream | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Movie Score | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My My Girl | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Marley | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonsafe | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fraudulent Charge | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Honorgetic | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapidashqueen | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chromeplated Heart | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not My Money | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What a Trick | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Polished Gal | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pretty Lori | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not On My Watch | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Edgy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Afandi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Whatchasaid | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Number | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Depository | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reassured | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Response | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ink | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Appointment | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hitech Is Back | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | By the Hour | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mattitude | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maggie’s Bid | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Bastet | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.