Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 16, 2021

October 16, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mick’sbestbetyet 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Mending 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Golden Grant 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Gimme’s Goldengirl 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Butter Pecan 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Live Aid 2.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Hufflepuff 2.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Misspotofgold 15.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Floating By 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Olive’s Bumpa 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Mizzen Air 1.40 4.8 9-1
3 3 Glory March 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Congress Hall 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Simmard Shenanigan 4.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 El Milagra 20.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Long Distance Love 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ellarouge 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Hummin’ the Funk 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Hidden Persuasion 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Secret Prize 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Special Freedom 3.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 You Never Call 2.50 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ordinary Girl 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Minnetonka 3.00 5 10-1
4 4 Salamina 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Sassy Babe 5.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Pass It On 20.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Social Exclusion 4.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Bay of Angels 10.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Shyla Girl 50.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Some Nights 8.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Bourbon Wildcat 6.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Americas Woman 8.00 10.9 21-1
12 12 Made to Hustle 3.50 11.1 21-1
9 9 Tea in China 2.50 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Get Groovy 20.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Spicy Margarita 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Splendid View 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Valuable Breigh 30.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Dotada 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Olivia Darling 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Beneath the Stars 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 American Bound 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Murph 1.60 6.4 12-1
10 10 Lanfrankophile 2.50 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moquist 1.80 3.1 6-1
3 3 Belle of the North 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Flava’s Dream 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Movie Score 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 My My Girl 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Miss Marley 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Moonsafe 8.00 7 13-1
5 5 Fraudulent Charge 2.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Afandi 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Honorgetic 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Rapidashqueen 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Chromeplated Heart 3.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Not My Money 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 What a Trick 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Polished Gal 3.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Pretty Edgy 4.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Pretty Lori 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Not On My Watch 4.50 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Whatchasaid 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Royal Number 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Depository 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Reassured 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Rapid Response 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ink 3.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Royal Appointment 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Hitech Is Back 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 By the Hour 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Mattitude 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Maggie’s Bid 2.50 4 8-1
3 3 American Bastet 4.00 4.7 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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