Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 16, 2021

October 16, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ready to Rumble 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bali Moon 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Brass Band 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Our Electra Guitar 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Bringthewine 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Khowriter 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Scarlett’s Flower 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Monetary Surprise 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Madame Claude 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Elisa’s Song 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Folk Hero 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Bella Romance 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Kingston Queen 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Reneesdreamgirl 5.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Danley 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Procurador 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 El Rosillo 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Wild Irishman 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 The Dungeon 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Go Cristian 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Super Necessary 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Gus K 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 El Policia 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shastree 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Positive Review 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Jet Wings 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Laban M Mo 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Frosted Armour 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Toyi 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Glory and Victory 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kicks On Sixty Six 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 No Commission 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Sixty One 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 C. P. A. Genius 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 King Tarzan 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Miami Chrome 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 I Turn a Night Up 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Barrel Proof 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Unclejackomo 30.00 10 19-1
10 10 Little Dude 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Daddy’s Joy 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Acting Lucky 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Piper 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Yellen 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Palmgirl 6.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Battle Cry 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Charlotte the Brit 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Henni Penny 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Grey Jazmine 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kurt’s a Keeper 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Brett’s World 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Wild Texas Tom 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Small Reason 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Big Treasure 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Converter 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Kick in the Gas 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Star Deputy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Karenville 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 La Rusia 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Uptown Queen 4.50 2.8 5-1
12 12 Raison the Glass 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 One Night Stand 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Gingeronmymind 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Cactus Kitten 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Sister Is Devil 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Red Wind 15.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Dora Princella 20.00 11.2 21-1
11 11 V K Star 20.00 11.2 21-1
2 2 First Gold 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Irish Honor 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Financial System 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Hard Lighting 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Another Duke 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Fuego Caliente 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 King Slew (ARG) 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Manor House 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Nixon Joy (ARG) 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flashy Too 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 She Rox My Socks 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Panotti 5.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Elusive Uncaptured 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Crystal Lagoon 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Rivercrest Road 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Sweet Actress 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Barola 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Heifer 15.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Always Eden 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.