Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 16, 2021

October 16, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kiki Kat 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Prayers Saved 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Ma Cher Amio 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Missbudlitelime 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Social Galaxy 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Lucky Lily Be 12.00 4 8-1
12 12 Achancetowin 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Angel Arkie 15.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Bourbon Blues 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Marama 5.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Track Smart 3.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Dontmeswithdiscat 3.50 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Slow 4.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Roverton 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Gotta A. P. B. 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Majestic Society 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Jr’s Sauvage 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 My Fortunate Son 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Zyzack 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Rock On Cowboy 4.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Callthewolfe 12.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Brook Is Golden 5.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 The Big Irishman 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Getcha 1.80 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Tarkington Girl 20.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sunshine Star 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Lake Marie 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Knights Sword 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Whimsical Lady 12.00 3 6-1
12 12 Come On Birdie 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Tensas Virginia 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Violet Shadows 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Run Natalie Run 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Miss Caruso 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Custom Chasse 5.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Order Up Another 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Distinct Quality 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Freightrainfreeman 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Trophy Daddy 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Touch of Gold 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 My Book 4.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mister Strange 2.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Pre Heat 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Tio Blas 3.50 6.2 12-1
11 11 Poppi Is Smiling 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 He’s a Lucky Man 6.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Ready Redding 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Tin Delay 15.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Louisiana Thunder 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Creative Letters 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Leyton’s Hippie 10.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Chaching Bling 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Storm the Field 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Rock City Rocket 20.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 The Flush King 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Sugarland Express 4.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Magician’s Holiday 1.80 6.1 12-1
7 7 Powershot 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Perfect Perigee 8.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Real City Speed 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Bitcoin Banker 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Dancin With Angels 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Ghost Cowboy 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Wedington 10.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Birch 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Charco 1.60 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mischief’s Machine 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Tapage 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Impact Player 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Louisiana Hero 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Lt. Bonura 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bow and Arrow 2.00 5 10-1
2 2 Turn On the Magic 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Populist 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Si Es Goya 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rockett Magic 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Plum Good 2.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Harriet’s Dream 4.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Follow the Saint 5.00 6 11-1
10 10 Bind Me Up 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 D’wild Muffin 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Runpeggyrun 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Olivia’s Duchess 6.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Rose Crown 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Jennifer’s Arch 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Itsnotmyjob 5.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Mollys Flyin High 12.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Maga Man 12.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Drewcitable 15.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Bistraya 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Langs Day 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Izzy’s Baby Boy 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Grand Luwegee 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Treys Midnite Moon 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Speaktomeoflove 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 No Parole 1.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Chu Chu’s Legacy 5.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Underpressure 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Untamed Money 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Missheartbreaker 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sweetasbaily 20.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 My Little Guera 20.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Shotgun Annie 15.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Rich Dreams 30.00 5 9-1
6 6 Madison Joy 6.00 5 10-1
7 7 Half Scout 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sharons’moonshadow 2.50 6.9 13-1
3 3 Pi Yo Princess 10.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Mairsils First 3.50 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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