October 16, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kiki Kat | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prayers Saved | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ma Cher Amio | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missbudlitelime | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Galaxy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lily Be | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Achancetowin | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Angel Arkie | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon Blues | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marama | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Track Smart | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dontmeswithdiscat | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Slow | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roverton | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta A. P. B. | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Society | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jr’s Sauvage | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Fortunate Son | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zyzack | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rock On Cowboy | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Callthewolfe | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brook Is Golden | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | The Big Irishman | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Getcha | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tarkington Girl | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunshine Star | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Marie | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knights Sword | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whimsical Lady | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Come On Birdie | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tensas Virginia | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Violet Shadows | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Natalie Run | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Caruso | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Custom Chasse | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Order Up Another | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Distinct Quality | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freightrainfreeman | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trophy Daddy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touch of Gold | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Book | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Strange | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pre Heat | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tio Blas | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Poppi Is Smiling | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s a Lucky Man | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Redding | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tin Delay | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Louisiana Thunder | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Letters | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leyton’s Hippie | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chaching Bling | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm the Field | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock City Rocket | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Flush King | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugarland Express | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magician’s Holiday | 1.80 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Powershot | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Perigee | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Real City Speed | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bitcoin Banker | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancin With Angels | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Cowboy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wedington | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Birch | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charco | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mischief’s Machine | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapage | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impact Player | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Hero | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lt. Bonura | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bow and Arrow | 2.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turn On the Magic | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Populist | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Si Es Goya | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rockett Magic | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plum Good | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harriet’s Dream | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Follow the Saint | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bind Me Up | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’wild Muffin | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runpeggyrun | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olivia’s Duchess | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Crown | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jennifer’s Arch | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsnotmyjob | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mollys Flyin High | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maga Man | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Drewcitable | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bistraya | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Langs Day | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Luwegee | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Treys Midnite Moon | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speaktomeoflove | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Parole | 1.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chu Chu’s Legacy | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Underpressure | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Untamed Money | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missheartbreaker | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetasbaily | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Little Guera | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shotgun Annie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rich Dreams | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madison Joy | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Half Scout | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharons’moonshadow | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pi Yo Princess | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mairsils First | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.