Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 16, 2021

October 16, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hi Millie 15.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Akingisalwaysking 10.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Steady John 10.00 2 4-1
3 3 Coatandtierequired 1.80 2.3 4-1
7 7 Dancing Cossack 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Crabs N Beer 2.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Dontforgettoblink 6.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Striking Heir 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Nashvegas 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Flat Rate 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Instigated 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Dr Harlan 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Capitan Fofo 3.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Mobeatyabad 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Colour Guard 2.50 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Not Invented Here 10.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Forefront 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Phil the Banker 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Super Wise 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Runner 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Inject the Light 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Jack Luvs Nova 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Quad Eights 1.80 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Monogram 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Run On the Trail 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Citizen’s Fire 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Melina’s Dream 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Axxerator 2.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Neigh Dude 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Porsupuesto 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Bettheover 3.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Above Par 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Reina La Kelsy 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 We Miss Susie 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Flashing Diamond 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Caught Up in You 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Be Sneaky 1.40 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Twitty City 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 4 Celtic Treasure 4.50 3.5 7-1
1A 10 Weather Wiz 4.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Oxide 8.00 4 7-1
6 6 Arrivederla 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Bourbon Frontier 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 1 Taxable Goods 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Fortunate Friends 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Basso 2.50 7.6 14-1
5 5 Northern Ridge 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Rocky Run S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Affable Monarch 8.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Keiko Krahe 10.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Cooke Creek 10.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Fierce Warrior 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Minecrafter 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Bold Leader 6.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Forty Stripes 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Husband Material 3.50 5 9-1
6 6 Rich’s Way 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 No Sabe Nada 4.50 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cali Divine 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 My Lucky Heart 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Mizshipman 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Miss Jasser 15.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Thirsty Boots 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Bohemian Dancer 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Tua 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Farcical 1.60 4.8 9-1
5 5 Monkey On My Back 15.00 4.9 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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