October 16, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Steady John | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coatandtierequired | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Akingisalwaysking | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hi Millie | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crabs N Beer | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Cossack | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dontforgettoblink | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nashvegas | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Striking Heir | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mobeatyabad | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capitan Fofo | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colour Guard | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dr Harlan | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Instigated | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Flat Rate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Not Invented Here | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runner | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quad Eights | 1.80 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Wise | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jack Luvs Nova | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forefront | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phil the Banker | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inject the Light | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Axxerator | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monogram | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run On the Trail | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Citizen’s Fire | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Melina’s Dream | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bettheover | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neigh Dude | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Porsupuesto | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flashing Diamond | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Above Par | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We Miss Susie | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Sneaky | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caught Up in You | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reina La Kelsy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Celtic Treasure | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Ridge | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arrivederla | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bourbon Frontier | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fortunate Friends | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Oxide | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Taxable Goods | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Weather Wiz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Twitty City | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Basso | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Rocky Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keiko Krahe | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Leader | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fierce Warrior | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rich’s Way | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cooke Creek | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Husband Material | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Minecrafter | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Affable Monarch | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forty Stripes | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Sabe Nada | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Lucky Heart | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizshipman | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Jasser | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bohemian Dancer | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thirsty Boots | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tua | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monkey On My Back | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cali Divine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Farcical | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.