October 16, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Joey | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risky Woods | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dos Vaqueros | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Motion to Strike | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mach One | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ocean Deep | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beckenbauer | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lemme Get It | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fontanafredda | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rooski | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Cara Mia Mine | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buffalo Dancer | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cricket West | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Natural | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robyn and Eli | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queens Dancer | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Mia | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thefabulous Moolah | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Catch Kacy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Frosty Invasion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kant Hurry Love | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Summer Snow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | The Honorable Ruth | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Sharp Prospect | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Artemus Bridge | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Clear Vision | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Seismic Wave | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Bourbon in May | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Smile Bryan | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Parlor | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Villainous | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 2 | Regal Quality | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Lost in Rome | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Al’s Gal | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Heart of God | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Amber | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shaker Shack | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spun d’Etat | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mebs Web | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesomenewyear | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Briella | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Effiemeister | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Uncle’s Gem | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Show Me the Honey | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highway Queen | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Happy Hill Lil | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kreesa La Wrote | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mashnee Girl | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamaica Joy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Write This Down | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stimulus Check | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get the Candy | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Oldie | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Sands Point S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Higher Truth (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fluffy Socks | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harajuku (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Third Draft | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Flash Drive | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Rumour | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Plum Ali | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jordan’s Leo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hoopla | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matty’s Marauder | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Litterbox | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exxtop | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cousin Andrew | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scotty | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Gentleman | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Road to Success | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Machine | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gabby Squared | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Adele Kat | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Summer in the City | 2.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Athena Dancer | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Creative Legacy | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Infringement | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherokee Song | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Emma and I | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Sitka | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | A Ring Thing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Khali Magic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Seahorse d’Oro | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Proper Grammar | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Adriatic Rose | 12.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Esotica | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Bea Star | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raffinity | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cinderella’s Cause | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormi Cat Lady | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Sophia | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mosienko | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quantitativbreezin | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | New York Dancer | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | New York Banker | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Phenomenal Woman | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love’s Misery | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Taffy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Incontrovertible | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Ethel’s Doctorate | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Roxen | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Escapewithfriends | 3.50 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tami’s Orchid | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barrel of Bliss | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Early Edition | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Gallina | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Favorite Impulse | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.