Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 15, 2021

October 15, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lacougra 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Twice as Smart 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Steel Wool 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Perfect Gentleman 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Sea Scout 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Bullet Speed 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Sir Grayvenscroft 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 View From Egbert 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Cheeks 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Stormy Vision 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 San Nicola Star 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Northern Cross 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 If Six Was Nine 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Snow Squall 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Ms Wicked 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Top Prize Girl 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Relentless Ruby 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Flaxen 3.50 3 6-1
5 4 Born to Be Good 2.50 4.1 8-1
8 7 Leaveyoubreathless 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Jolene Jolene 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Dama Elegante 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Blu Sky Sunrise 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 You Thrill Me 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Viature 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sun Daddy 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Beyond My Dreams 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Fifth Season 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Birchmount Rd 12.00 5 9-1
9 8 Ammunition 12.00 5 10-1
6 5 Thru the Vine 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Hell Bent 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Muskoka Giant 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Negotiations 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Letthebighossroll 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 In a Twist 2.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Double the Heart 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Victor’s Destiny 3.00 5 10-1
7 7 Agnelli 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Northern Solution 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Thor’s Thunder 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Kuduro 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Corey Scores 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Asha Ironborn 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Monastery Lane 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Danger 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Richies Noble Girl 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Starlight Ridge 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Very Savvy 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Bobbi’s Legacy 20.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Bossalina 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ride the Wind 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Hard Street 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 No Whammie 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 La Croix Valmer 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Fourteen Days 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Hit and Run 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Hatmaker Holiday 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Trading Bay 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Suigu Star 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Northern Conquest 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Grand Gizmo 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Afleet Eddie 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Dawson Silver 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Komunist 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Son of My Father 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Doc Fishman 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 L’Etat (GER) 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Dr. Jewel 20.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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