October 15, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lacougra | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twice as Smart | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Wool | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Gentleman | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Scout | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bullet Speed | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | View From Egbert | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Cheeks | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Vision | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | San Nicola Star | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Cross | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | If Six Was Nine | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snow Squall | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Wicked | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Prize Girl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Relentless Ruby | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flaxen | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Born to Be Good | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Leaveyoubreathless | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jolene Jolene | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dama Elegante | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blu Sky Sunrise | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | You Thrill Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Viature | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sun Daddy | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Beyond My Dreams | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fifth Season | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Birchmount Rd | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ammunition | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thru the Vine | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hell Bent | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Muskoka Giant | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast Negotiations | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Letthebighossroll | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In a Twist | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double the Heart | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victor’s Destiny | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agnelli | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Solution | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thor’s Thunder | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kuduro | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Corey Scores | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Asha Ironborn | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monastery Lane | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Danger | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Richies Noble Girl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starlight Ridge | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Very Savvy | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossalina | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ride the Wind | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Street | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Whammie | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Croix Valmer | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fourteen Days | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hit and Run | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hatmaker Holiday | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trading Bay | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Suigu Star | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Conquest | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Gizmo | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afleet Eddie | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dawson Silver | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Komunist | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Son of My Father | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doc Fishman | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | L’Etat (GER) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Jewel | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.