October 15, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Corkman | 0.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Napoleon Complex | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deputies Edge | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Grand Son | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remembermom | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flight to Paradise | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stanford (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Front Man | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reckless Spirit | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Hara (IRE) | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Somethingtotellyou | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mr. Vincent | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Lou Boyle (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Glory Road | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Striking Speed | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Liveyourbeastlife | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Sweeter | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mazal Eighteen | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 5 | Hollywood Gina | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Pepper Grill | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 7 | Charlotte Webley | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2B | 6 | Malibu Luna | 1.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Mission Trail | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Wick Loves a Fight | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Asset Talent | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pipito | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Open Til Midnight | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exclusive Order | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Made to Be Lucky | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Doc | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King of Hollywood | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Skate | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | No More Mischief | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Grove | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Next Tuesday | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Luna Fortuna | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exchange Road | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love Unlimited | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spice Ice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Slow Crossing | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mezcal | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Times | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peacebethejourney | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mayhap | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pruning | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sitting Pretty | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Except Temptation | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Glen Cove S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Keeper of Time (IRE) | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alwayz Late | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Invincible Gal (GB) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orbs Baby Girl | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adelaide Miss | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bay Storm | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Honey Pants | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caldee | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Dracarys | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of Bermuda (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Por Que No | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aug Lutes | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whispering Pines | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Union Gables | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Meghan | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patty H | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easy to Bless | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Horn of Plenty | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bricco | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Propensity | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yankee Empire | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Ask Neal | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Count Down | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Jerusalem Gates | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Make It in Ny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Vodka Lemonade | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Coach Bahe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Road to Success | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Justintimeforwine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 7 | Chrome Dixie | 3.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.