October 14, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Keen Samurai | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barilko | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tahana | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Derek | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Robusto | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gottoknowrightnow | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Duke of Miami | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Smart | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bocelli | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jegos Fire | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweepin Hard | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Right to Strike | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liverpool Man | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wings of Victory | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daddyplaystheblues | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Newfie Express | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Polydeuces | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Conquer Him | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Choir | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Edge | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady At Blame | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Karakontieparadise | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twister Alert | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Who Says | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emmeline | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buttered Toast | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Stencil | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ninja Princess | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tropospheric | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bittersweetbizness | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cora | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Princess Dynasty | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jokers Run | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Regal Billee | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Billyjane | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sweet Edition | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hekla’s Aura | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Distorted Success | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Breathing Fire | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Rookie Court | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shelly the Rocket | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laila’s Charm | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Allpaidup | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lelawala | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | We’ve Had Enough | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daisy Dangles | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Puddle Stomp | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Langskip | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hit Me Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Factoring | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Good Witch | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Make No Mistake | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anita Grigio | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Valley Girl | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Girasol | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cool Society | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Northern Ruby | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pino in a Purse | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crumlin Time | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Benadette’s Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Circle of Friends | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookinatamiracle | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marten River | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solidify | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Senor Jobim | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Embolden | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wheat King | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speedy Bolt | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fresh Dreams | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Beach | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J M R Bold Vision | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Finding Perfection | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mizzona | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Misguided Passion | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sadie Irene | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Mistake | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forest Halo | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuscan Damsel | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Onezy’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.