Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 14, 2021

October 14, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Classy Solution 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Victory Given 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Phantom Ro 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Smart Step 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Talented Dr. B 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Confusion Baby Boy 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Swing West 1.60 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fearless Ideas 30.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Wolverette 5.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 English Charmer 3.50 7.6 14-1
10 10 Bless and Honor 12.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Dixie’s Fascinator 6.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Enthroned 15.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Hot Choice 20.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Tuff But Fair 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Perfume River 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Smart Entry 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Glossamer 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Running On Entry 5.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Ms Boombastic 4.00 11.1 21-1
3 3 Pepper Pot 6.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Flatexcel 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Amen Corner 8.00 3.4 7-1
2 1 Ty Ran a Homer 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 8 Unequivocal 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Iywaan 1.40 5.5 10-1
6 6 Hashtag Winning 2.50 5.8 11-1
1 2 Jammin Jimtown 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Sacramento Q 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Heliacal Rising 12.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Feminista 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Derby Julep 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Sweet Talia 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Insane Sister 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Shemademelucky 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Mama G’s Wish 1.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Painted Love 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cuenca 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lucky Day Diva 12.00 5.5 10-1
13 13 Magic in Malibu 8.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Trikki Nikki 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Millie Child 8.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Aprilness 4.00 9 17-1
4 4 Marvella Nasty 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Alluring Rumba 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Always Something 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Rapidashqueen 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 One Smart Cookie 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Until Now 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Defy Expectations 1.80 10.1 19-1
3 3 Dare to Try 5.00 10.7 20-1
11 11 Likely Choice 8.00 11.5 22-1
1 1 Exact 12.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Instparty 15.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Rubi de Leon 30.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Safe Reezan 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Miss Casey 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Unresolved Issues 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Dry Well 4.00 6 11-1
1 1 Sullivan Street 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Little Bit of That 5.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Isabella’s Glory 6.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Misty’s Lass 4.50 9 17-1
6 6 Stormin’ Cougar 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lady Mosler 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Benandjoe 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Sea Ghost 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Guillaume 3.50 6.1 12-1
9 9 He’s a Shooter 4.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Boss Logic 3.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Dreaming of Gerry 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Going to the Lead 6.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 John the Bear 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kingston Pike 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tam Char 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Unrequited Love 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Betcha by Golly 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Princess Kokachin 1.80 4.1 8-1
6 6 Award Wanted 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Combat Queen 2.50 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Saint Rita 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Likehail 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Icy Harbor 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 First Lady Di Da 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Leia Organa 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Osa 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Rhythm and Power 4.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Mary Jane Chrome 8.00 9 17-1
6 6 Closertotheheart 2.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 You Never Call 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Toss a Coin 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Looks Don’t Lie 6.00 10.1 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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