October 14, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classy Solution | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Given | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Phantom Ro | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Step | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talented Dr. B | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confusion Baby Boy | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swing West | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Ideas | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wolverette | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | English Charmer | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bless and Honor | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enthroned | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Choice | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tuff But Fair | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Perfume River | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Smart Entry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Glossamer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Running On Entry | 5.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Boombastic | 4.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pepper Pot | 6.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Flatexcel | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amen Corner | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ty Ran a Homer | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Unequivocal | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iywaan | 1.40 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hashtag Winning | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Jammin Jimtown | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sacramento Q | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heliacal Rising | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Feminista | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Julep | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Talia | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Insane Sister | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shemademelucky | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mama G’s Wish | 1.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Painted Love | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cuenca | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Day Diva | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Magic in Malibu | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trikki Nikki | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Millie Child | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aprilness | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marvella Nasty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Alluring Rumba | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Always Something | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rapidashqueen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | One Smart Cookie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Until Now | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Defy Expectations | 1.80 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dare to Try | 5.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Likely Choice | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exact | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Instparty | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rubi de Leon | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Reezan | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Casey | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unresolved Issues | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dry Well | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sullivan Street | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Bit of That | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Isabella’s Glory | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misty’s Lass | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormin’ Cougar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lady Mosler | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Benandjoe | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Ghost | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guillaume | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s a Shooter | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Logic | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Gerry | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Going to the Lead | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | John the Bear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kingston Pike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tam Char | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unrequited Love | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Betcha by Golly | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Kokachin | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Award Wanted | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Combat Queen | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saint Rita | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Likehail | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Harbor | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First Lady Di Da | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leia Organa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Osa | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rhythm and Power | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mary Jane Chrome | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Closertotheheart | 2.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | You Never Call | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Toss a Coin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Looks Don’t Lie | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.