Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 14, 2021

October 14, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Country Cut 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Vero Campione 20.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Indefensible 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Raise the Purses 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 The Big Show 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Goldbridge 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Silent Tap 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Escrow Style 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Fox Wine 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Yodel E. A. Who 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Lemniscate 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Slither 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Bertie’s Galaxy 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Drop of Golden Sun 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Vice Versa 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Violent Ways 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miss E. Fu 1.80 2.4 4-1
7 6 Track Queen 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Landwoman’s Gift 15.00 2.4 5-1
8 7 Blue Ridge Queen 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Our Little Girl 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Suni Laluni 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Em’s Miss Prado 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Little Girls Rule 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Last Appeal 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Harry’s Lil Hippie 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 On Tilt 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Flat Out Freed 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Cool Fire 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Cajun Berti 8.00 7 13-1
5 5 My Boy Gus 2.50 7.3 14-1
7 7 Ice City Ghost 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Nosy Banker 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Extrapolator 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Monzza 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Suddenly 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Spectacular Izzy 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Grace’s Gal 20.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Velvet Night 3.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Seven Come Eleven 20.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 A Wish for Madelyn 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Salt Life Angel 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Thirstyprospect 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Dobby Sue 4.50 7.6 14-1
1 1 Audacious Girl 1.80 8.3 16-1
5 5 Chatain’s Gift 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Madelyn’s Moment 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Siberianproduction 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Last Destiny 20.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Sandy’s Wager 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Bee House 2.50 4.5 9-1
7 6 Gottabegolden 4.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Stormy Collision 3.50 5.6 10-1
8 7 Abigail G 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Brown Eyed Angel 8.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Pintlala 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Merlin’s Sister 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 8 Miss Mabelee 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Flat Rose 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Eurorose 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Union Station 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Underdog 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Lullaby Bling 5.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Andiamo Giacomo 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Sixto 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Macho Rapido 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Bravura Creek 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Easy to Miss 6.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Burrow 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Mind On My Money 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Midnight Nightmare 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jackman 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cadillac Ridge 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sweet Prayers 2.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Nin to Win 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 She’s My Priority 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Tale of Tensas 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Glory to Me 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Miss Kennedy 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Duepeg 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Star Gaze 6.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Abigail’s Beauty 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Verrazano Island 4.50 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 10 Lookin for Eight 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 5 McLean 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Destiny Way 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Young Bull 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Five O One 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Scarlettsblackjack 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 2 Weekend Ride 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 3 Thatsafactjack 2.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Coco Tiger 4.50 8.5 16-1
7 6 Royal Privacy 12.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Therunawayrocket 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Zmor Aristocat 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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3rd - 9:31
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3rd - 6:06
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3rd - 2:07
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3rd - 5:03
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3rd - 3:05
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3rd - 0:50
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3rd - 9:43
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