October 14, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Country Cut | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vero Campione | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indefensible | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Raise the Purses | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Big Show | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goldbridge | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Tap | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Escrow Style | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fox Wine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yodel E. A. Who | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemniscate | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slither | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drop of Golden Sun | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vice Versa | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violent Ways | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss E. Fu | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Track Queen | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Landwoman’s Gift | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blue Ridge Queen | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Little Girl | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suni Laluni | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Em’s Miss Prado | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Girls Rule | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Last Appeal | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | On Tilt | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Freed | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Fire | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cajun Berti | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Boy Gus | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ice City Ghost | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nosy Banker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Extrapolator | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Monzza | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Suddenly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Spectacular Izzy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grace’s Gal | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Velvet Night | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seven Come Eleven | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Wish for Madelyn | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Salt Life Angel | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirstyprospect | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dobby Sue | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Audacious Girl | 1.80 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chatain’s Gift | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Madelyn’s Moment | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Siberianproduction | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Last Destiny | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandy’s Wager | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bee House | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gottabegolden | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Collision | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Abigail G | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Eyed Angel | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pintlala | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Merlin’s Sister | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Mabelee | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Eurorose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Union Station | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Underdog | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lullaby Bling | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Andiamo Giacomo | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sixto | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Macho Rapido | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bravura Creek | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Easy to Miss | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burrow | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mind On My Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Nightmare | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jackman | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cadillac Ridge | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Prayers | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nin to Win | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s My Priority | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of Tensas | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glory to Me | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Kennedy | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duepeg | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Gaze | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Abigail’s Beauty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Verrazano Island | 4.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Lookin for Eight | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | McLean | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Destiny Way | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Young Bull | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Five O One | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scarlettsblackjack | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Weekend Ride | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thatsafactjack | 2.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coco Tiger | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Privacy | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Therunawayrocket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zmor Aristocat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.