Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 14, 2021

October 14, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 So Suave (IRE) 1.80 4.1 8-1
9 9 Zanno 2.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Coragescontender 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 U. S. Steel 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Qian B C 5.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Big Wonder 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Handy 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Colormepazzi 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Devious Mo 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Resilient Courage 2.50 2.2 4-1
1A 6 Cozzy’s Attitude 1.80 2.9 6-1
1 3 Drosel Diem 1.80 3.1 6-1
3 1 Montego Bay Circle 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 8 Sterling Hill 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 4 Wicked Bobby 2.00 5.1 10-1
2B 7 Knightly Mischief 2.00 5.4 10-1
4 2 Kingdom On Paws 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mr. Briggs 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Jake Rocks 1.60 1.6 3-1
1 1 One Whirlwind Ride 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Him She Kisses 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Supply and Demand 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Copa 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tingling Mint 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lady Thornhill 3.50 4 8-1
9 9 Fist Full of Dice 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Duckphat 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Out of Sight 8.00 5 10-1
2 2 Tapple Cider 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Vivazano 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Tiz Another Smile 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Caumsett 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Call Me Harry 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Prince of Pharoahs 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Alphalfa 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Straw Into Gold 5.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Quiet Out East 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Dancing Buck 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Opt 6.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Mo Faith 6.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Swashbuckle 12.00 8 15-1
7 7 Bourbon Bay 30.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 Matty’s Express 12.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Steelersfanforlife 20.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Bourbon Mission 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Durkin’s Call 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Myra Fleener 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Exact Change 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Escapology 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Dom’s Feisty Girl 3.00 7 13-1
9 9 Captivating Cara 8.00 7 13-1
8 8 Know It All Red 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Reeley Psyched 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Tassi 15.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Starship Rogue 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Decreed 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ob La Di 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 American Rule 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Therisastormbrewin 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Fast Break 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 True Palace 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Lokoya Road 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Pier Forty 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Respect for All 30.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Bingo John 2.50 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Messidor (IRE) 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Windfall Profit 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Miss Delicious 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Golden Plume 2.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Evvie Jets 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Princess Fawzia 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 Contained 10.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Equal Measure 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Gotanda 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Go Johnny Go 15.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 D’vinicris 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Sonic Speed 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 I Gen 5.00 7 13-1
1 1 Jack’s Dream 12.00 7.6 14-1
6 5 Data Deal 15.00 8.9 17-1
10 9 Arms an Armor 12.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Majestic Tiger 6.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Big Little Risk 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Freudian Analyst 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Addicted to You 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Remembermom 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Stonecoldwarrior 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Giramonte 3.00 10.2 19-1
11 10 Tempesta 8.00 11.9 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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