Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 13, 2021

October 13, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr. Production 1.60 3.1 6-1
1 1 Allthewaywithtaye 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Wonder Run 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Free Indeed 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Aw Shucks 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Fuelinjectedprayer 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Cheers to Berti 10.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Fire Blaster 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Daigle 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Isolation 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lucky Little Lady 2.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Enduring Peace 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Lucky Priority 10.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Time for a Song 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Rivetrix 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Kellys the Boss 20.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Birdcatmouse 15.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Minji 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sweetsweetsong 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Kasens Train 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Actifdash 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Multidimensional 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 R and R Star 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 King’s Alibi 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Flashlightsecurity 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Unbridled Pulpit 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Ciroc O Clock 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eternal Endeavour (GB) 2.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 Izeonpoint 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Get Directions 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Oh My Oh 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Miss Lein 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Joe G’s Payback 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Swanee Beach 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Twn Tawfeers Party 15.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Suspect the Worst 15.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Accustomed to Hope 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hoyam 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hopeitsamiracle 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Battle of Will 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Scrappy Artie 1.60 3.6 7-1
8 8 Just Indiscreet 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Blushinstreetdevil 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Grosse Tete Ian 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Blondie Fix It 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Speedofthespeed 12.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Bro Brahms 15.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 You Vee Cee 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Brimestone Kid 20.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Magnificent Red 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Crooked Banker 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Saint Scotty 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Standing Man 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Too Much Bourbon 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Common Law Cat 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 That’s D ‘cat 5.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Crooks Rebel 12.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Dapper Dan Man 15.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Purim King 12.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Secret Vista 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Meditate 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Donna’s Court 12.00 10.2 19-1
1 1 Bayou Jam 15.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mama Said No 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tapsion 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Sangria City 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Taylors Babe 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Clara Belle 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Summer Tsunami 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Anna Clause 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 I’m All Shook Up 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Opportunity Knocks 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Shes Our Fastest 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Misty Day 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 4 Kela’s Turn 6.00 4 8-1
7 6 Southern Beauty 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Onerollofthedice 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 The Aurelia Factor 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Schiff’s Corner 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Ima Discreet Lady 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chop Chop Charlie 3.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Forevamo 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Gobler 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Fancy This 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Familiar Rhythm 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Noble Egyptian 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Miss You Jo 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Due Apeal 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Valyrian 12.00 8 15-1
11 11 Witch Doctor 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Taken Back 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Such 20.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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