Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, October 12, 2021

October 12, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Law of the Land 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Niangua 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Duquesne 3.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Eddie’s Charge 10.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Peter G. Fox 20.00 9 17-1
16 16 Sophos 5.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Couch Dreams 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bob in Our Midst 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rated Special 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Commissioner G 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hoistthemainsail 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Recycle 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ride Em 2.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Private Network 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Expensive 20.00 11.6 22-1
8 8 Lt. Columbo 20.00 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fed Policy 4.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Canoochee 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sweet Willemina 1.20 4.5 8-1
3 3 Like a Pro 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Mon Cherie 15.00 5 10-1
8 8 Always a Queen 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Beatubyachubinose 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Blue Shine 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Tomarie 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Obstinate 20.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Irish Riviera 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Alfatei 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Screen Saver 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Tio Wil 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Hollywood Jet 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lucky Hero 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 The Want of a Nail 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Jw’s Third Mischie 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 What’s to Blame 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 13 Roo La La 5.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Holiday Raid 4.50 5.5 10-1
10 9 Barn Queen 3.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Our West Indy 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Allegretto 10.00 6.5 12-1
11 10 Pasatime 10.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Angelsfour Michele 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 7 Almost Evil 15.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Shes Euphoric 20.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Yourindenial 12.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Speightster’s Gold 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Just a Dream 20.00 SCRATCH
14 12 Better Begin 20.00 11 21-1
12 11 Oui Madame 15.00 11.3 21-1
7 6 Ragazza Carina 20.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Colonel Juan 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 2 Thundershook 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 4 Koan 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 7 Pubilius Syrus 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Souper Fly Over 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 8 Icy Dude 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 5 Star Sign 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Auld Lange Syne 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Baringer Spring 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Grit and Glory 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 One Two Kid 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 5 Deckology 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 1 Stonegate 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 3 Mongolian Hero 5.00 5.1 10-1
10 6 Kid Chocolate 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 2 Big Perm 8.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Our Philly Special 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Passport 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Repeated Promise 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Overbold 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ready Reward 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hard to Be Humble 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Borgobythesea 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Will too Shy 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 8 Mr. Walsh 3.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 No Fly Zone 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Conquistador Show 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Mountain Tree 12.00 7.7 15-1
12 9 Noble Endeavor 8.00 8.6 16-1
8 6 Twixy Cat 8.00 9 17-1
5 5 Joint and Several 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Spectacular Kid 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 American River (VEN) 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Run Fast 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Portal One 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Rack Gin 8.00 10.4 20-1
9 7 Too Much Johnnie 12.00 10.6 20-1
14 11 Top Boss 15.00 12.7 24-1
13 10 Don’t Recall 20.00 13.2 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Star Lo 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 She’smyrisenstar 3.50 5.8 11-1
14 13 Midnight Miracle 4.00 6.7 13-1
11 10 Checotah 12.00 7.3 14-1
12 11 Harbour Way 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Mad Mary 10.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Knock Out Kid 15.00 8.7 16-1
15 14 Terpeye 15.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Luna Azteca 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Morgans Melody 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 I’am a Unicorn 15.00 10.3 19-1
9 8 Karabessa 15.00 10.6 20-1
3 3 Woman Flyer 20.00 11.3 21-1
10 9 Creedibility 20.00 11.7 22-1
1 1 Your Pal 10.00 12 23-1
13 12 Sally O’Prado 20.00 12.8 24-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Spun and Won 10.00 3.6 7-1
12 8 Fore Harp 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 4 Tuggle 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 3 Dr. Doyle 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 6 Uncle Ernie 1.80 5.7 11-1
9 5 Over Sensual 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 2 Naughty Prince 3.50 7 13-1
11 7 Crazy Daisy 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Arrecife 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Get Set 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Heros Reward 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Alpha Sixty Six 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – M.p. Ballezzi Appreciation Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Senior Investment 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Galerio 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Empty Tomb 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 I Am Redeemed 8.00 6.2 12-1
11 10 Rock On Luke 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Phat Man 4.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Lord Winsalot 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Someday Jones 12.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Prince of Rain 12.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Informative 15.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Forewarned 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lookin At Roses 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dreams Untold 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bird King 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 12 Honorable Service 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Jump Shot 6.00 4.8 9-1
16 14 Monteleone 5.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 My Amanjena 6.00 6.4 12-1
15 13 Alejandro’s Team 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Champers 10.00 6.8 13-1
12 11 Kadens Courage 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Borsa Vento 4.50 7.1 13-1
3 3 My Train 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Big City Ralph 10.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Superhighway 8.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Blugrascat’s Smile 8.00 9 17-1
7 7 Septimius Severus 10.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Manolete 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Catch Fire 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Eclipsed Moon 20.00 11.2 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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