October 12, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Law of the Land | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Niangua | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duquesne | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eddie’s Charge | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Peter G. Fox | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Sophos | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Couch Dreams | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bob in Our Midst | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rated Special | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Commissioner G | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hoistthemainsail | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Recycle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ride Em | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Private Network | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Expensive | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lt. Columbo | 20.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fed Policy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canoochee | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Willemina | 1.20 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Like a Pro | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mon Cherie | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always a Queen | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beatubyachubinose | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Shine | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tomarie | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Obstinate | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Irish Riviera | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alfatei | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Screen Saver | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tio Wil | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Jet | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Hero | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Want of a Nail | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What’s to Blame | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 13 | Roo La La | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Holiday Raid | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Barn Queen | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our West Indy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allegretto | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pasatime | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angelsfour Michele | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Almost Evil | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shes Euphoric | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yourindenial | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speightster’s Gold | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Just a Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 12 | Better Begin | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Oui Madame | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ragazza Carina | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Colonel Juan | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thundershook | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Koan | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pubilius Syrus | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Souper Fly Over | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Icy Dude | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Star Sign | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Auld Lange Syne | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baringer Spring | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Grit and Glory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | One Two Kid | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Deckology | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Stonegate | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mongolian Hero | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Kid Chocolate | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Big Perm | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Philly Special | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Passport | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Repeated Promise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Overbold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ready Reward | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hard to Be Humble | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Borgobythesea | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Will too Shy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mr. Walsh | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | No Fly Zone | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conquistador Show | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mountain Tree | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Noble Endeavor | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Twixy Cat | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joint and Several | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Kid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | American River (VEN) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Run Fast | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Portal One | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rack Gin | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Too Much Johnnie | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Top Boss | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Don’t Recall | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Star Lo | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’smyrisenstar | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Midnight Miracle | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Checotah | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Harbour Way | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Mary | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knock Out Kid | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Terpeye | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luna Azteca | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Morgans Melody | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | I’am a Unicorn | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Karabessa | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Woman Flyer | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Creedibility | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Your Pal | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Sally O’Prado | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Spun and Won | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Fore Harp | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tuggle | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dr. Doyle | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Uncle Ernie | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Over Sensual | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Naughty Prince | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Crazy Daisy | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrecife | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Get Set | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Heros Reward | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Alpha Sixty Six | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – M.p. Ballezzi Appreciation Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Senior Investment | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Galerio | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empty Tomb | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Am Redeemed | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rock On Luke | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Phat Man | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Winsalot | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Someday Jones | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Rain | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Informative | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forewarned | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lookin At Roses | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dreams Untold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bird King | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 12 | Honorable Service | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jump Shot | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 14 | Monteleone | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Amanjena | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Alejandro’s Team | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Champers | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kadens Courage | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Borsa Vento | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Train | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big City Ralph | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Superhighway | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Septimius Severus | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Manolete | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Catch Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Eclipsed Moon | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.