October 11, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oubabe | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liberty Forever | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Synnin and Winnin | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outta Hand | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orth | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Erebus | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vanisky | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billy’s Bet | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Music | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Warrens Candy Man | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Careless Kitten | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funkenstein | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Soi Phet | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Club Mesquite | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Runway Dreamer | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star of Africa | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Over Attracted | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sugary | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizno’s Dilemma | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Princess | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Did I Stutter | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sayin Grace | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mountain Spirit | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Very Irish | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Secret Touch | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sabuda | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mugaritz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Steak and Cheese | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Avigale (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bud Knight | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stone’s River | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ox Bridge | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Searching for Gold | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rocks and Salt | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tembo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tribal War Chant | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Voyager | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Cosmo | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | For Love Not Money | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rattrapante | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Medusa’s Gaze | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curious Inji | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Moon | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slew South | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamite Queen | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allison’s Surprise | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slew’s Screen Star | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Striking Tigress | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Cucina | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tilted Towers | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Little Juanito | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fight On | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star Racer | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rookie Mistake | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love My Jimmy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Defense Wins | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barbiere | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charge Cash | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speed Pass | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Prince | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pelican Way | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Afternoon Heat | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel War | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Play Chicken | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast as Cass | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Indy Jones | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Tact Toe | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rosenquist | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star Sailor | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | World Cruiser | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Circumvent | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hulk | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eagle Chief | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solo Animo | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 98 | El Joy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | No Hang Charlie | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Assurance | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mayhem and Chaos | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moraz | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nice Ice | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Styledome (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bye Bye Bertie | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stella Noir | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Last First Kiss | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Pearl | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Panther | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Velvet Slippers | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.