October 10, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grafton Street | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luckman | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laraque | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rum Cup | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hagemeister Park | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pot Committed | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mason’s Gamble | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Combative | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Last American Exit | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Icomefromdowntown | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Priceless Will | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Four Aces High | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Search | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goldmine Cat | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Classy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunspear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Durham Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sir Winston | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Heart | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap It to Win | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Forces | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halo Again | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Modus Operandi | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pilot Episode | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Dahlia | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imagery | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Garter | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sterling Speed | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Marais | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stokes | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reinforced | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gloriannia | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Friends | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Justin’s Way | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Classy Whisper | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hunt Master | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Crazy | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Afikoman | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unspeakable | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giant One | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forittable | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Sunrise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dragon’s Key | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Union Colonel | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Frosted Icing | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Over the Hills | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Speed Way | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Impressive Speed | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ritmo de Cueca (ARG) | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artie My Boy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Copinsay | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Hero | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pound Green | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Real Money | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Secret | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celebratory | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Seamus | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | City Boy | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rockcrest | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Hot | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spite Store | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wedgewood | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Readyforprimetime | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Alacritous | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cup And Saucer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fast Feet | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Honor | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Where’s Neal | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stronger Together | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | God of Love | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancin in Da’nile | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Mountain | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mentoring | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chairman Bob | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shamateur | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brutality | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Ontario Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Art of Almost | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crystal Glacier | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skygaze | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Katherine | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Juxtapose | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Vision | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stribling | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tragically Quewick | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saskatchewan | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie’s Pride | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for the King | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Niagara Skyline | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shan’s Tiger | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Mercury | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raven Echo | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Browning Island | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Have a Souper Day | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lord of Legends | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Forester | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Parmigiano | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wenjack | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kawacatoose | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saturday George | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Exceed | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galvaston | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Narcissistic | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Canola World | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.