October 10, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Comedic | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Phenom | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Loma Vista | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sugar Sugar | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | She’s Got a Way | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Steps | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Beauty | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ayellowroseoftexas | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Travel Smart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Truly Fabulous | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a Riddle | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Renella | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mavalous Mavalous | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rolinga | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Listen to Blue | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aligato | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Really Big News | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Square Cat | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger’s Arrow | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eagle in the Sky | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irondale | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hail Freedom | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Robber | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Innate | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pyeong Chang | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Harbor Sky | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Heir (FR) | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Irresistibly Sexy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bravestone | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Da Kine | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mongol Altai | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Primer Dimer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Revisionist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Queen Bee | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Wildcat | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tecumseh Caroline | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gritty Girl | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shish Kabob | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vegas Dream | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Am Yisrael Chai | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lasya Dance | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Auntie T Run | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Equivalence | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smilin Evie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Her Perfect Vision | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rose Dawson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Thisonesforbarry | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ruthies Racer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | V Bucks | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Warren’s Memorable | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elgofranco | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Little Tiger | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | House of Targaryen | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Sonny | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coal Shaft | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Al’s Princess | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Blend | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Pasito | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Beyonce | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Maker | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tigerhon (FR) | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rocket Song (FR) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Numero Dix (GB) | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Man Friday | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Fish | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Seen Before (IRE) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Impossible Task | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Augusta Melody | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Scott Daddy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doncic | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wipe the Slate | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Albizu | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crash Corrigan | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holden the Lute | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Taming the Tigress | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Blu | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shylock Eddie | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luxury Liner | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Game | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Squared Shady | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Emma’s Dance | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gotta Be Lucky | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella D | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dr Wysong | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Loud Loud Music | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hot On the Trail | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.