October 9, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Similar Taste | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patio Party | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | When We Connect | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Redemption | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anselmo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hayroll | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Santiago Salsa | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Play | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ostracize | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frame This | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Careless Heiress | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capture the Moment | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vespolina | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Elusive | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reign by Rein | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pacenza | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Old Secrets | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mia At Midnight | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artie’s First Kiss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shuddacuddawudda | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgian Dancer | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Driver | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’s Soul | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Muskoka Lady | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bearthestorm | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Am I Said | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Machisima | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raspberry Wild | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lake Shore Drive | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Nashtrick | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Swot Analysis | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Checkerboard Floor | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Oath | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Silver | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dani’s Victory | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ari Gold Speedwagn | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Al Heybay | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decimator | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Threefiftyseven | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take a Chance | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Dangle | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Millennium Force | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ishiyaya | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sister Peacock | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Soul | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fact Checking | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Libertee | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spanish Ballerina | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Speedy Lynn | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkle Sammy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mumblebee | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mizz Gemma | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Speed Chess | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flashy Get Even | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Drop Fox | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vermont Holiday | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thatsitthatsall | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Elegance | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Load Abroad | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Veri Unified | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majesticimpression | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Demogorgon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Moon Pool | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rosie Amor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Silent Ghost | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Terrific Lady | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Awesomecrest | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | O’Hara Lane | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sun Forester | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Arquebus | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tenpenny Nail | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | More Chances | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liars Club | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hullabaloo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Zephyrtizer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Milwaukee Fibolt | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jmr Pure Sensation | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Join the Dance | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kanta | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strega | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pink Orchid | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Offense | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Sting | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Intro | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Street | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Overskate S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Not So Quiet | 0.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Told It All | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wave Baby | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forester’s Fortune | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | There’s No Joe | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dun Drum | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victor’s Dynasty | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derzkii | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Desolator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Knew as a Breeze | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Viracocha | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Forest Vixen | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Silver Heights | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Gospel Hill | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cocotara | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Topper | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victoriaville | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Raleigh | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No More Fences | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hoping for a Ring | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bellaspina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lime Squash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.