Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 9, 2021

October 9, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Similar Taste 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Patio Party 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 When We Connect 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 My Redemption 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Anselmo 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Hayroll 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Santiago Salsa 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Perfect Play 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ostracize 3.50 3.1 6-1
11 11 Frame This 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Careless Heiress 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Capture the Moment 8.00 5 9-1
10 10 Vespolina 3.00 5 10-1
3 3 So Elusive 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Reign by Rein 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Pacenza 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Old Secrets 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Mia At Midnight 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Artie’s First Kiss 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shuddacuddawudda 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Georgian Dancer 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Baby Driver 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 D’s Soul 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Muskoka Lady 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Bearthestorm 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 I Am I Said 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Machisima 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Raspberry Wild 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lake Shore Drive 6.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Nashtrick 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Swot Analysis 5.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Checkerboard Floor 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Sacred Oath 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Miracle Silver 10.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Dani’s Victory 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Ari Gold Speedwagn 12.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Al Heybay 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Decimator 20.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Threefiftyseven 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Take a Chance 20.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dirty Dangle 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Millennium Force 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Ishiyaya 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Sister Peacock 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Magical Soul 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 5 Fact Checking 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 La Libertee 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Spanish Ballerina 2.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Speedy Lynn 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Sparkle Sammy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mumblebee 4.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Mizz Gemma 4.50 5.6 11-1
11 11 Speed Chess 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Flashy Get Even 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Lemon Drop Fox 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Vermont Holiday 15.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Thatsitthatsall 3.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Pure Elegance 12.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Load Abroad 15.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Veri Unified 20.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Majesticimpression 20.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Demogorgon 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Moon Pool 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Rosie Amor 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Silent Ghost 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Terrific Lady 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Awesomecrest 4.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 O’Hara Lane 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sun Forester 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Arquebus 5.00 4.4 8-1
12 11 Tenpenny Nail 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 More Chances 3.00 6 11-1
3 3 Liars Club 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Hullabaloo 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 7.9 15-1
11 10 Zephyrtizer 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Milwaukee Fibolt 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Jmr Pure Sensation 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Join the Dance 2.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Kanta 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Strega 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Pink Orchid 6.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Last Offense 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Golden Sting 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Intro 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Awesome Street 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Overskate S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Not So Quiet 0.60 4 8-1
6 6 Told It All 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Wave Baby 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Forester’s Fortune 5.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 There’s No Joe 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Dun Drum 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Victor’s Dynasty 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Derzkii 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Desolator 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Knew as a Breeze 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 6 Viracocha 10.00 4.6 9-1
13 10 Forest Vixen 10.00 5.1 10-1
12 9 Silver Heights 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 7 Gospel Hill 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Cocotara 10.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Street Topper 20.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Victoriaville 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 8 Raleigh 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 No More Fences 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Hoping for a Ring 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bellaspina 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lime Squash 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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