October 8, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Go Greta (GB) | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Voice | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frazzled | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aloha Kitten | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Sky | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pistachio Princess | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St Helena | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hightailing | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Simmer Down | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zahra | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rowangoeshollywood | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Andy | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Maneuver | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Defiant | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Info’s Treasure | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie’s A. T. M. | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Absolute Unit | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bee Catcher | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | East Rand | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C Falls | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Best Chance | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Jostar | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nerves of Steel | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Active Account | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Cane Creek Road | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Jack Sprout | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | General Mathis | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Ice Storm | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Destiny’s Journey | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Operatic | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady O’Prado | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chollima | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Avisse | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Article | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mongolian Window | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flatterwithjewels | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Deise Delight (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viazar | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Basilia | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shizaam (IRE) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pop Pop’s Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Agreetodisagree | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bestrella (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Sauls Call | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Know Cash Flow | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Finglas Lad | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shortman | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Barsabas | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prince Hussar | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hay Juan | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Good Verses Evil | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gidgetta | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Ballad | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A G Indy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road Rager | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Star | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Pics Please | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bruja Escarlata | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Brocade | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Got a Gal | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aqua Julia | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She’s So Shiny | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Muy Chistosa | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | So It Would Seem | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Paycheque Smile | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Butterfly Barb | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Taylor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Badger Kitten | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Floral Essence | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quinevere (GER) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chantal | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sky On Ice | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Journey | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sugar Plum | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Judy With Grace | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Renegade Princess | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whistler’s Style | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mongolian Mission | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big News Coming | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.